Monthly Review - Tuesday, November 1, 2011 0:01 - 0 Comments
Digest of Armenian Media for October 15- 31
by News Digest
According to this article, Iranian Foreign Ministry Ramin Mehmanparast said that Iran is ready to offer a solution to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. He said that “border disputes usually occur between neighboring countries,” adding that “extra-regional countries seek to exploit disputes in order to interfere in regional issues.” Mehmanparast went on to say that Iran supports the continuation of talks and consultations on the issue and is ready to help resolve the territorial dispute between Baku and Yerevan.
This article says that Russian and Turkish deputy foreign ministers discussed the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict in Ankara on October 14. According to the website of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Grigori Karasin and Feridun Sinirlioglu spoke of the recent developments in negotiations over Nagorno-Karabakh. The two diplomats also spoke about the situation in the Central Asia and South Caucasus.
The article says that George Mason University hosted a symposium October 15 on Nagorno-Karabakh conflict attended by Armenian, Azerbaijani and American experts.
According to this article, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said in an interview with Al-Jazeera that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is unpredictable and is the biggest threat to the region. He said despite the achievement of the ceasefire agreement in 1994, no peace has been achieved yet. “That is the most dangerous conflict from point of view of predictability. You cannot predict what will happen,” Aliyev said. Further, he said Nagorno-Karabakh can be granted the status of autonomy. “There are good examples of autonomies in the world and in Europe,” he Aliyev.
The article says that Armenia’s Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandian received
Stanislaw Koze, Head of the National Security Bureau of Poland. Upon Koze’s request Nalbandian brief him on the recent developments in the Karabakh conflict settlement process. Koze said that Poland sees no alternative to the peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict.
The article says that a TV reported named Vardges Baghryan wrote a book about the Karabakh conflict and the Karabakh war. The book incorporates real accounts of real witnesses who participated in the war. The author said in an interview with RFEL that he did not change the stories so that they would please any one, but rather presented them as they are. “ … None of us has the moral right to distort the history,” said Baghryan, adding that his goal was to pass to those stories the coming generation the way they happened.
According to this news item, MP of the ruling Republican Party of Armenia, Galust Sahakyan, said that Iran’s mediation in the settlement of the Karabakh conflict is not only undesirable, but also impossible given the OSCE Minsk Group countries are engaged in that mediation efforts. “The settlement of the issue is within the frameworks of the OSCE Minsk Group and that is enough,” said Sahakyan.
This article says that the newly appointed US Ambassador to Armenia John Heffern said at his first press conference in Armenia that US remains committed to the peaceful resolution of the Karabakh conflict. He stressed that work is carried out within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group and new meetings are expected. Heffern recalled that American Co-Chair Robert Bradtke is actively working with his Russian and French colleagues and no changes in their work are planned.
According to this article, US Deputy Secretary of State William Burns said at a press conference in Baku that the existing status quo in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict cannot continue for long and therefore the US considers it as an urgent issue. He also said that the US is committed to renewing the process carried out by the OSCE Minsk Group. “The existing status-quo on the conflict can’t continue for a long time. That’s why the US approaches to this issue as an urgent issue,” said William Burns. “The US is loyal to do its best for strengthening and renewing the process carried out by OSCE Minsk Group at the highest level – presidential level”, he added.
Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said that Armenia’s decreasing population affects the Karabakh settlement process. Aliyev characterized the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict as a major impediment to Azerbaijan’s progress. He particularly referred to Azerbaijan’s advantages over Armenia in terms of its military potential and population. Aliyev noted that Azerbaijan’s military budget, which exceeds Armenia’s State Budget by $500,000 million, as well as the difference of population between the two countries impact negatively impacts the final settlement of the conflict.
This article says that the Armenian Assembly’s Northern California Regional Council (NCRC) held a briefing on the occasion of the 2oth anniversary of the independence of the de facto Republic of Nagorno Karabakh. NKR representative to US Robert Avetisyan said that “Karabakh is an independent state callable of defending its citizens”. “Today, Artsakh [Karabakh] is an independent state capable of defending its citizenry and the process of depopulating our homeland by the Azeri authorities has ended. Nor do we intend that they should have the opportunity to resume such policies and violations of basic human rights,” Avetisyan added.
Masis Mailyan, Head of the Public Council of de facto NKR’s Foreign Policy and Security, said that the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh will in the coming months fade into oblivion given the countries involved in the conflict and those involved in the mediation efforts will be either holding elections or in a pre-election period. “Judging from the situation I think that the Karabakh conflict will in the upcoming months will be driven into the second plan,” said Mailyan. Speaking about the status quo, Mailyan said that the impression is it beneficial for Karabakh. “In fact the status quo is not beneficial for Artsakh [Karabakh] itself as this situation hampers Artsakh’s rapid development,” explained he.
The US is strongly convinced that there is no military solution to the Nagorno Karabakh conflict, the US Deputy Secretary of State William Burns told journalists in Baku. “The US is committed that on the highest level our government is doing everything we can to renew and strengthen the Minsk Group process,” said Burns, adding that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict was an important subject of his discussions in Baku. “We approached with a strong conviction that there is no military solution to the conflict,” he said.
This article says that Azerbaijan’s Ambassador to Turkey Faik Bagirov said that when it comes to the opening of the Armenian-Turkish border, Turkey has made its position clear on several occasions at the international level, that is, the border will be opened only after the statement of the Karabakh conflict. “The opening of the Armenian-Turkish border is directly related to the resolution of the Karabakh conflict. [Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip] Erdogan’s visit to Azerbaijan in June also attests to that,” said he.
According to this article, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said at a ceremony dedicated to the 20th anniversary of Azerbaijan’s independence, that Azerbaijan’s military budget exceeds the entire budget of Armenia by $0.5 billion. Aliyev also said that during the first years of the country’s independence “some mistakes were unfortunately committed and our lands came under occupation”. “Now we are trying to put an end to that injustice, to resume the territorial integrity of our country. However, talks have not yielded any result,” said Aliyev.
No essential changes in foreign policy should be expected in the context of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Armenian political scientist Alexander Iskandaryan. “What is going on now is continuance of Armenia’s traditional policy. I mean the format of French President Nicolas Sarkozy’s visit, which was a manifestation of classical complimentary policy, cooperation with the West,” the expert said. He also said that Azerbaijan has “changed its rhetoric”. “Azerbaijan’s rhetoric is showing changes – Armenia and Nagorno-Karabakh pose a threat to them and may launch military operations at the border. Evidence thereof is the construction of the wall,” said Iskandaryan.
According to this article, Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov said that the main goal of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs to the region is to introduce some clarification into the omissions in the peace process over the settlement of the Karabakh conflict and to continue work in that direction. “The Madrid Principles is a legal documents; only those issues will be discussed over which no agreement has been reached yet,” said he. Further, Mammadyarov said that Azerbaijan as previously wants to see the beginning of the work aimed at signing a comprehensive agreement.
According to this article, Azerbaijani expert Mubaris Ahmedoglu said that Armenia is putting forward new conditions for the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. According to him the Armenian authorities are urging Azerbaijan call back the 10 demands brought forth at the Kazan meeting. Speaking of Russia’s role in the conflict settlement process, Ahmedoglu said the country’s efforts in that direction are not going to yield any result.
In this article Azerbaijani ambassador to Russia Polad Bulbuloglu said that the Azerbaijani authorities believe that Russia can assist in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement. Highly praising Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s efforts towards the peace deal, the Azerbaijani diplomat said: “We are still hopeful that the Karabakh conflict will be settled peacefully, and we see Russia’s active role in promoting such process in accordance with the international law. We do believe that the Karabakh issue will find its solution thanks to Russia’s support.”
Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is one of the frozen conflicts in Europe that can be resolved. Speaking about the meetings of Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents Medvedev said the entourage of both presidents are doing well in terms of finding common ground with each other during meetings and easily shift from Armenian into Azerbaijani and vice versa, though it is kept secret. The presidents too are doing well in communicating each other during the meetings, Medvedev added. Further, he said that Russia will definitely continue to assist with the settlement of the Karabakh conflict.
Deputy US Secretary of State William Burns said that the US continues to be committed to its role an OSCE Minsk Group state in the settlement of the Karabakh conflict and works with France and Russia over the issue. “It is obvious for us all that there is no military solution to this issue. I think it is also obvious that the statues quo can no longer continue. Therefore, this issue needs to be tackled with a sense of urgency,” said Burns, recalling the Deauville statement in which Barack Obama, Nicola Sarkozy and Dmitry Medvedev called on conflicting parties to prepare their people for peace rather than for war.
Azerbaijan is developing very rapidly and to expose this prosperity to any risks associated with war wouldn’t be good, said political analyst Dmitry Babich. “As for the OSCE Minsk Group, I see no point in serious mediation just because the situation is tense,” said he. Further, Babich noted that mediators can be useful when the parties are ready to talk calmly. “But, as I understand it, the situation is somewhat different,” he explained.
According to this news item, political analyst Alexander Rar said that Russia will not thoroughly change its political approach on Karabakh conflict settlement after current PM Vladimir Putin becomes president of Russia. According to Rar, “Caucasus faces dual situation where Russia is Armenia’s strategic partner and simultaneously has close relations with Azerbaijan”. Further, he explained that the West will regularly confirm that the conflict should be settled, while Russia benefits from keeping the situation unsettled. This tactic may bring Russia’s defeat if abusing it, Raar added.
US Ambassador to Azerbaijan Mathew Bryza said that US’ position over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is that it is necessary to finalize the Basic Principles and immediately proceed to large deal and agreement. The US diplomat said the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs are visiting the region to discuss the Basic Principles and the issues raised by Azerbaijan at the presidential meeting in Kazan. “The mediators will search ways for promoting and reviving the process,” Bryza was quoted as saying.
This article says that Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan met with OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs on Friday and discussed issues related to the current state of peace talks over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. They also spoke about the necessity of strengthening trust among the conflict parties. The article also says that earlier the co-chairs were received by Armenia’s Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandian.
According to this article, Azerbaijani political scientist Nazim Muzeffeli said that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict caused from 10 t0 20 times more damage than did the Abkhazian and South Ossetian one. According to him, because of the Karabakh conflict Azerbaijani suffered around $60.1 billion in damages, while he put figures with the Abkhazian and Ossetian conflict at $2.9 billion.
According to this article, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev thanked his Kazakhstani counterpart Nursultan Nazarbaev for the country’s stance over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Aliyev also said that “the territorial integrity of our country is breeched”. “This issue must be resolved within international legal norms and the Helsinki Final Act,” said he, adding that these documents clearly state that territorial integrity prevalence has a priority over the principle of nations’ right to self-determination.
This article says that Armenian Catholicos Karekin II received on Friday OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs in Holy See of Etchmiadzin and thanked them for their efforts in Karabakh conflict peaceful settlement. Further, informed them about meetings with spiritual leaders of Georgia and Azerbaijan mediated by the Russian spiritual leader.
This article says that the de facto President of the unrecognized Republic of Nagorno Karabakh Bako Sahakyan said at a meeting with OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs in Stepanakert that “Azerbaijan continues the anti-Armenian and anti-Karabakh propaganda, violating the Ceasefire Accord and boosting its militarization, thus seriously impeding the conflict settlement process and the maintenance of regional and international security”. Sahakyan also emphasized that “bringing Azerbaijan to the constructive stream is a key issue in Karabakh settlement”. The parties mutually stressed the importance of continuing the negotiation process based on a direct dialogue and without the use of force.
This article says that the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs visited Nagorno-Karabakh after a four-month pause. Following the meeting with Karabakh’s de facto president Bako Sahakyan and acting de facto Foreign Minister Vasily Atajanyan, the mediators said they had effective talks, especially about the situation in the Line of Contact. US co-chair Robert Bradtke said they agreed that any death, any loss does not make sense. “We came to the conclusion that we will do everything so that no one, so that there is no innocent casualty,” said Bradtke, adding that there is no military solution to the Karabakh conflict.
US expert Citiven Fishemn at the California Berkley University said that together with the ties with Armenia, Russia has also close ties with Azerbaijan and therefore Russia can become the guarantor of peace in the Karabakh conflict and prevent military actions which is far more important for the region that any other American initiative. Speaking about the Eurasian Union propagated by Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, he said that the union can be a guarantee Armenia and Azerbaijan to prevent the resumption of hostilities.
According to this news item, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said in Alma Ata that the number one issue facing Azerbaijan today is the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. “For several years this conflict continues to remain unsettled. It is posing a big threat to the region,” said Aliyev, adding that all prestigious international organizations have expressed their position over the Karabakh issue.
According to this article, OSCE Minsk Group French Co-Chair Bernard Fassier said that the existing situation in Nagorno-Karabakh is the result of military aggression. He also said that peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict is the only way to go. “The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict can be settled only in a peaceful way, and our goal is to create conditions for a final “settlement,” Fassier was quoted as saying. Further, he said that “when people are talking about war and about solving the conflict with the use of force, it does not contribute to the creation of environment favorable for discussions”.
Armenian Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandian said that there is no need to change the OSCE Minsk Group format over the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process. Speaking about Turkey’s intentions to be involved in mediation efforts over the Karabakh conflict, Nalbandian said it is “Turkish phantasmagoria”. “Regarding Turkey, I think it is Turkish phantasmagoria. When it comes to changing the format, there is no such need,” Nalbandian was quoted as saying.
This article says that Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said Russia intends to further assist with the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process. “My conviction is that it is only by political means that a fair settlement of the conflict is possible,” the Russian leader said. Further, he said that much has been done over recent years. “Russia intends to further the negotiation process as OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs through direct contacts between the Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders,” Medvedev added.
Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan said at a speech during his visit to Moscow that a fresh war over Nagorno-Karabakh will not solve the existing conflict. “We are sure that a new war won’t resolve the conflict. Confrontation leads to instability, incites tension and prompts arms race …,” said Sargsyan adding, that it will far more aggravate the existing disagreements between the states. He also said that Armenia’s position over the Karabakh has for the recent years been unchanged.
Armenian political analyst Richard Giragosian said that the recent visit of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs to the region was somehow a last attempt to prove the effectiveness of this mediating group. “Unfortunately, we see that the Minsk Group mission is also in danger because of the same reason – failure of the efforts to approximate the parties’ positions,” explained he. Giragosian also did not exclude that the European Union intends to play a more active role in the settlement of the Karabakh conflict, adding that it will hardly lead to any change in the Minsk Group format in the near future.
Azerbaijani Foreign Minsiter Elmar Mammadyarov said in an interview with Komsomolskaya Pravda that everybody realizes that the status quo in Nagorno-Karabakh cannot continue long. He also said that a lot will change once the Armenian troops are withdrawn from the territories around Nagorno Karabakh. Mammadyarov further said that Azerbaijan attaches importance to resuming the once relations between the Armenian and Azerbaijani communities in Nagorno-Karabakh.
According to this news item, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said at a meeting with his Armenian counterpart Serzh Sargsyan talks are the only way to reach a fair resolution to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. He also said that Russia is willing to further assist the parties with the settlement of the conflict. “As an OSCE Minsk Group country Russia intends to further contribute to the talks’ process and direct communication of Armenian and Azerbaijani leadership,” said Medvedev.
David Babayan, Spokesperson for the de facto president of the unrecognized Republic of Nagorno-Karabakh, said that there will be a quick solution to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Speaking about the expectations of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs’ recent visit, he said that it is clear for all that this is a very complex issue and it will take time to resolve it. Babayan also said that given all the countries – either involved in the conflict or in mediations – will in the coming months enter a pre-election period, the Karabakh issue will somehow lose its urgency and therefore no breakthrough is expected from co-chairs’ visit.
According to this news article, OSCE Minsk Group Russian co-chair Igor Popov said that during their recent regional visit they discussed issues related to easing tensions on the Line of Contact in Karabakh and the mechanisms of investigating the incidents there. He also said that Armenian and Azerbaijani spiritual leaders should play an active role in soothing tension on the Line of Contact.
According to this news item, Eduard Sharmazanov, the Spokesperson for the ruling Republican Party of Armenia, said that the fact that Azerbaijan was elected as a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council cannot affect the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict because the OSCE Minsk Group countries are permanent members of the UN Security Council and that their opinion is in line with Armenia’s position. “I should mention that both President [Nicolas] Sarkozy and President [Dmitry] Medvedev mentioned in Moscow that there is only a political solution to the Karabakh conflict and the call that ‘military aggression is unacceptable’ was addressed to Azerbaijan,” said Sharmazanov.
This article says that Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan said that Turkey will fight for Nagorno-Karabakh hand in hand with Azerbaijan. “Our two states represent one nation, as well as one heart. That’s why we will fight shoulder to shoulder with Azerbaijan until the occupation is put an end to,” Erdogan said.
Russian political scientist Stanislav Tarasov said in an article that Russian President Dmitry Medvedev made tremendous efforts to untangle the Nagorno-Karabakh problem, without, however, any progress so far. The reason is, according to him, is Moscow’s own formula for settling the conflict, without violating the national interests of either Armenia or Azerbaijan. Further, he wrote that a different scenario or allowing the Western powers to lead the settlement process will mean nothing but recognition of Nagorno-Karabakh’s independence. “In future, Azerbaijan’s historians will puzzle over the question: how did Azerbaijan – the most powerful South Caucasus country – happen to lose part of its territory and who is responsible for that? The answer is clear even now, though,” wrote the author.
This article says that the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs issued a statement in which they called on the parties to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict to enhance the atmosphere of the peace talks, increase trust and strengthen the maintenance of ceasefire. They also said they had proposed steps toward fostering trust between the parties. The co-chairs further referred to an agreement over the draft mechanism of investigation into incidents on the Contact Line.
According to this news article, David Babayan, Spokesperson for the de facto president of the unrecognized Republic of Nagorno Karabakh said that that “policy of Azerbaijan as a non-permanent member of the United Nations Security Council will be aimed at transferring the Nagorno-Karabakh issue to the UN, however,” though “this goal is doomed to fail”. “I have no doubt that Azerbaijan will carry out such policy in the United Nations Security Council, otherwise, it should not have sought to become a non-permanent member of the United Nations Security Council,” said Babayan.
Arman Melikyan, Former Foreign Minister of Nagorno-Karabakh, said that the most interesting part of the recent statement by the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs refers to their proposal to investigate ceasefire violations across the Line of Contact. “The details of this proposal have not been unveiled yet, and as far as I understand the parties have already accepted it,” said he. Further, Melikyan said he cannot say what practical results the move will yield, but it was, in fact, a step aimed at maintaining ceasefire accord.
According to this news article, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev said at a cabinet meeting that Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity cannot be a subject for negotiations. Aliyev also said that though the OSCE Minsk Group mediation has not yielded any result yet in the settlement of the Karabakh conflict, their recent statements that the status quo cannot last long in Karabakh gives some hope. Aliyev also said that Armenia made a mistake by holding a military parade as an expression of military might.
This article says that following Azerbaijan’s election as a non-permanent member of the UN Security Council, the country’s foreign minister, Elmar Mammadyarov, said that Baku has several issues to bring to the UN SC agenda, among them mentioning international security and peace, poverty and environmental protection. Speaking about the possibilities of bringing the Karabakh issue to the UN SC agenda, Mammadyarov said it does not depend on the will of Azerbaijan, bur that of all the parties involved in the conflict.
According to the news article, Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov said at a meeting with his Georgian counterpart Grigol Vashadze that Baku is in favor of a phased settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. He also said that a complicated regional conflict like the one with Karabakh is not a matter of just a couple of days. “If the Armenian troops are withdrawn, we will no longer need snipers as nobody will be killed. We have told the co-chairs about that several times. The first phase will require the withdrawal of the Armenian troops from seven regions,” he said.
This article says that Georgian Foreign Minister Grigol Vashadze said during a visit to Azerbaijan that Tbilisi is willing to act as a broker in the Nagorno-Karabakh peace settlement deal. Vashadze also said that it is important to maintain any format; any kind of negotiations are better than a conflict. “The South Caucasus is a complete organism not to be divided into parts. But the three states have to realize they are the same age, with their sovereignty being inseparably linked. Should Georgia’s involvement or mediation in the conflict settlement be necessary, we are ready to offer our help,” said he.
Member of the Armenian delegation to the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe, Naira Zohrabyan said at a parliament discussion that Azerbaijan obtained a non-permanent member status at the UN Security Council for a two-year period, adding that Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev has already said that Baku will use those two years to bring the Nagorno-Karabakh issue to the UN SC agenda. Zohrabyan further said that Armenia’s Foreign Ministry should come up with a response. She also said that Armenia also could nominate its candidacy, adding that such kind of issues will be raised until Armenia’s Foreign Minsitry makes a statement over the issue.
According to this article, political analyst of the Brussels-based European Policy Centre Amanda Paul said that Azerbaijan has the right to resolve the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict through military actions. “Azerbaijan has an absolute right to settle the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict through military means because the negotiation process supported by the OSCE Minsk Group has yielded no result for around two years, with the international community exerting no pressure on Armenia,” she was quoted as saying. The article also says that by this statement she violates the provisions of the Article 20 of the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR) and incites hostility and violence.
According to this article, Philip Lefort, the EU Special Representative for the South Caucasus, called for the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict in the nearest future. At a meeting in Baku he said the EU s ready to assist with the settlement of regional conflicts, including the dispute over Nagorno-Karabakh. “We are collaborating with the OSCE Minsk Group. I think the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has to be settled in the nearest future. I raised the question at the meeting with [Azerbaijani President] Ilham Aliyev,” he was quoted as saying.
This article says that Armenian political and military analyst Richard Giragosian said – while seeking about a meeting in George Mason University dedicated to the Karabakh conflict – that it was a first attempt to initiate a dialogue between Armenians and Azerbaijanis. Considering the discussion effective, he said it was not aimed at settling the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, but rather promoting a dialogue between the two countries’ societies. The expert noted that the Azerbaijani authorities’ permission to hold the event was an attempt to encourage the Armenia-Turkey dialogue, distinguishing it from the unsettled disputes between Armenia and Azerbaijan.
Azerbaijani expert Jamshud Nuriev said that the United States is not interested in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict settlement. According to him, the US is more inclined to freeze conflicts in order to maintain its dominant role in different regions worldwide. “That’s the fifth principle of the United States foreign policy,” he said. “They want to dominate the world through barbaric methods. The country does not want the Karabakh conflict to be settled because it has its political, economic and geopolitical interests there,” he added.
This article says that the Armenian community in Sweden swiftly blocked a move by Azerbaijanis to discuss a Karabakh resolution at the Swedish parliament. he Armenian community in Sweden sent a letter to the parliament demanding to cancel the discussions. They said that the Azeri version contained false reports about refugees and claims about the events in Khojalu and was another effort by Azerbaijan to falsify history and continue anti-Armenian propaganda.
Political analyst Igor Muradyan says in this article that the Azerbaijani leadership that was categorically against the Armenia-Turkey reconciliation has now found itself in a deadlock as none of the world powers backed Azerbaijan’s position in that issue. He also says, while Armenia’s position has become more rigid over the settlement of the Karabakh issue. According to Muradyan, Baku is losing the hopes of resolving the Karabakh conflict through military actions because none of world powers – and Turkey in the first place – will not support Azerbaijan in that case.
The article says that the Centre of Eastern Studies published an analytical article which says that Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is the number one challenge to the security and stability of the region. The article also says that though there are fewer chances that there will be a fresh war over Karabakh in the coming year, however it will be indispensable later given the current trends continue. It also says that the probability of a fresh war will be higher in case of a weaker Russia and stronger Turkey.
According to this article European Union Special Representative (EUSR) for the South Caucasus and the crisis in Georgia Philippe Lefort, said in Baku that the main reason the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is still unresolved is because the parties do not trust each other. He also said that the EU backs the efforts aimed at the settlement of the conflict. According to him, another reason might be the mutual fear. Further, Lefort also said that the EU high representative on foreign affairs attaches great interest to the South Caucuses and its conflicts.
This article says that the Israeli website Debkafile said in a report that the Azerbaijani unmanned aerial vehicle was shot down in Karabakh on September 12 not by Armenian, but rather by Russian forces which used some special equipments. Citing its sources in the military, the website also said that Israel still provides Azerbaijan with UAVs despite nervous reactions from Russia and Iran.
This news article says that experts from the Turkish Foreign Ministry’s Center for Strategic Research find the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict to be a common problem between Turkey and Azerbaijan. At a conference held in the frameworks of the “Azerbaijani Week” events, professors and other researchers from the Center said the leading circles of both countries will keep making joint efforts in that direction in future.
In this article, Armenian political analyst Igor Muradyan says that following the 2008 Meindorf and then the Kazan meeting in 2010, Russia is seeking to build its mediatory role based in the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict based on the existing Madrid Principles and is not trying to add anything new. He also says that Russia is trying to accelerate the negotiations process in an attempt to demonstrate to Azerbaijan that it is interested in the resolution of the Karabakh conflict. He also says that Azerbaijan, in turn, is attempting to build a policy in its relations with Russia because Baku has been offended from Turkey and US over the Armenia-Turkey reconciliation.
This article says that after the publication of an article which cited Azerbaijani media saying that political analyst of the Brussels-based European Policy Centre Amanda Paul as saying that Azerbaijan has the right to solve the Karabakh conflict through military actions, she denied having said that. It also says that, Andrew Williams, Communication Manager at the European Policy Centre, phoned Panorama.am to assure that Amanda Paul never made any statement on Nagorno-Karabakh.
This article says that a session of the OSCE Council of Foreign Ministers will from December 6-7 discuss the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, among other issues. It also says that the session will take place in Vilnius, Lithuania. It will discuss also the conflicts in Moldova, Georgia, issues related to the energy security, combating illegal drug circulation and other regional issue.
This article published by the Economist says that twenty years later now Nagorno-Karabakh is often called a “frozen conflict” but for most people outside the Caucasus it is more of a forgotten one. It also says that peace talks have ground on for years, but a breakthrough is never made. Further, it says that the conflict impedes economic development and regional co-operation in the south Caucasus. “But Westerners forget it at their peril,” reads the article.
According to this article, Azerbaijani MP Sahib Aliyev said that Azerbaijan is looking for to convenient situation to launch a war in Nagorno-Karabakh In his word; Azerbaijan is capable of crushing the Armenian army without Turkey’s help. “Azerbaijan is now trying to settle the conflict through peaceful methods because a war, even if the enemy loses five or six times more people than we do, implies losses anyway,” said he. Further Aliyev said that Turkey’s assistance to Azerbaijan will not be that important in case a war breaks out now but rather it was important in the 2000s. “Azerbaijan is now capable of banishing Armenians from the occupied territories. Azerbaijan is just looking for international circumstances to launch a war,” he said.
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