Monthly Review - Friday, July 1, 2011 0:02 - 0 Comments

Digest of Armenian media for June 15-30



Armenia ‘diplomatically isolated due to Karabakh conflict’ – PACE [ENG]

According to this article, the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) said in a statement that Armenia has found itself in a “diplomatic isolation and dependent on Russia over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict”. It also said that that due to the Karabakh conflict regional energy routes mainly bypass Armenia.


Karabakh issue may turn domestic political situation upside down – Ashot Manucharyan [ARM]

In this article member of the Karabakh Committee Ashot Manucharyan said that the Nagorno-Karabakh issue may turn the internal political situation in Armenia upside down and that it continues to remain the most important factor shaping Armenia’s internal political life. Manucharyan also said that situation over the Karabakh conflict is changing every day, adding that the if Armenians fail to re-organize themselves, undertake independent initiatives, they are bound to face disasters.


Minsk Group format is effective, says Robert Bradtke [ENG]

According to this news piece, OSCE Minsk Group US Co-Chair Robert Bradtke said that at this stage the OSCE MG format has proved effective for the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict settlement.
“The format of the OSCE Minsk Group is quite flexible and is capable of promptly responding to all the changes taking place in the region,” said Bradtke, adding that the European Union will also play a big role in the resolution of the Karabakh conflict. French Co-Chair Bernard Fassier, in turn, said that the EU’s role in the Karabakh settlement will be decisive. “The EU’s role is at least in preparing the civil societies of the two countries,” said he.



Ashot Manucharyan: Madrid Principles are disastrous for Armenia and Karabakh [ARM]

In this news item, member of the Karabakh Committee Ashot Manucharyan says that the Madrid Principles are “disastrous for Armenia and Karabakh” and that Armenia’s policy should be changed. According to him, Armenia has turned from its policy into a football court and ball for others’ game. Further he says that, Iran’s and Russia’s have similar goals in the region, but Russia does not pursue deep goals, which is not in Armenia’s interest. Further, he says that the developments over the Karabakh conflict run counter to the interests of Armenia and Karabakh.




Fassier: “We hope the agreement will be fixed in written form in nearest future” [ARM]

According to this article, OSCE US and French Co-Chairs Robert Bradtke and Bernard Fassier said at a hearing on Karabakh at the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe that the talks over Nagorno Karabakh are gathering momentum and that it is highly likely that there be a breakthrough at the Kazan meeting. Bradtke said that the OSCE MG co-chair think that the proposals under discussion are “fair and balance”. Bernard Fassier, in turn, said that Armenia and Azerbaijan have in various stages of peace talks rejected some points of proposal, but during the recent meeting in Sochi the co-chairs succeeded in reaching a so-called “oral agreement” which “we hope will be fixed in written form”.




Armenian leaders have political will to move on to agreement on Karabakh – Premier [ENG]

This article says that Armenia’s Prime Minister Tigran Sargsyan said in a interview with CNN that the Armenian leadership has the political will to move on to an agreement on Karabakh but in the meantime Armenia realizes it is not easy. Sargsyan also said that the “Armenian side hopes that Azerbaijani counterparts will demonstrate political will as well”


Turkey not to give up its intention to act as mediator in Karabakh peace process [ENG]

Ruben Safrastyan, the Director of Oriental Studies Institute of Armenian National Academy of Sciences, said that following parliamentary elections Turkey will attempt to pursue “neo-osmanism policy in the Middle East”. Speaking about Turkey’s policy on South Caucasus, Safrastyan said that it will hardly be intensive, as Ankara does not have potential to carry out policy both in the Middle East and the Caucasus. This, however, does not mean Turkey will give up its intention to act as a mediator in the Karabakh peace process.


No push in peace talks without Nagorno-Karabakh’s direct participation – expert [ENG]

Political expert Ruben Safrastyan says in this article that “dramatic and positive breakthroughs are unlikely in the Karabakh conflict resolution unless Nagorno Karabakh joins negotiations”. “Currently Karabakh is not a party to negotiations and no dramatic changes are expected in the negotiation process,” Safrastyan noted, adding that the sides are likely to sign another document in Kazan, which will create more favorable conditions for further talks. “It is not ruled out Azerbaijan’s belligerence will be reflected in the document,” he said.


Armenian, Azerbaijani Presidents unlikely to sign any document – Karabakh war participant [ENG]

Sasun Mikaelyan, a participant of the Karabakh war, said that the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents are unlikely to sign any document during the forthcoming meeting in Kazan. Mikaelyan noted that the sides can reach agreement on some points but will hardly sign a document. Mikaelyan also said he is against making any territorial concessions to Azerbaijan. “If the territories are returned, Nagorno Karabakh will not acquire a status,” he said, adding that if Armenia wants to avoid possible war, it must solve domestic problems.



Armenia attempts to shift responsibility on Karabakh – Vladimir Karapetyan [ENG]

According to this article, member of the opposition Armenian National Congress, or HAK, Vladimir Karapetyan said that Armenia’s authorities are attempting to shift the responsibility of the signing the Basic Principles over the Karabakh conflict on Nagorno Karabakh’s authorities. To prove his point, Vladimir Karapetyan recalled a recent statement by Armenia’s Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandyan, in which he said that it would be “impossible to pass to the second phase of the conflict settlement without Karabakh’s assent to the Basic Principles”. “ … [It’s] an attempt to shift the responsibility of agreement to the Basic Principles to the NK conflict on Karabakh,” said Vladimir Karapetyan.
Presidents to agree over Basic Principles in Kazan – Russian official [ENG]
Alexander Lukashevich, a Russian Foreign Ministry official said that at their meeting in Kazan the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents will likely reach an agreement over the Basic Principles of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict settlement. He also said that the presidents will adopt a joint statement at their next Russian-mediated meeting on June 25. “There are great expectations. In accordance with the agreements reached, the summits will presumably focus on the entire draft of the so-called Basic Principles,” he was quoted as saying.


Cypriot MEP makes remarks at Nagorno Karabakh hearing at EP [ENG]

This article says that Cypriot-based EPP Group’s Vice-Chairman Ioannis Kasoulides said that “while the Madrid Principles on the settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict call for a future determination of its final legal status through a legally binding expression of will, Mr Aliyev is attempting to impose preconditions by declaring in every occasion that NK will not be granted any other status than ‘autonomy’ in the framework of Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity”. “This kind of rhetoric, the arms race, tension and incidents in the line of contact can get the situation out of control, as it happened in Georgia in 2008,” said he.


Party leader suggests president should hold talks with parties before Kazan summit [ENG]

This article says that Chairman of the Democratic Party of Armenia, Aram G. Sargsyan, suggested that before his meeting with the Azerbaijani president, President Serzh Sargsyan should meet with the leaders of Armenia’s political parties to find out their views on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.


Bryza confirms peacekeepers’ issue on agenda [ENG]

According to this article, US Ambassador to Azerbaijan Matthew Bryza said that it is hard to predict the outcomes of the Kazan talks. “The Azerbaijani and Armenian presidents know this more exactly. But we can consider that OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs have certain information. One can say with confidence that there is no trick in the talks. The discussions are very serious and great progress has been achieved lately,” said he. Bryza also pointed out that deployment of peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh conflict zone is also on agenda. “This issue is expected to be settled. But I can say nothing concrete. I hope that the issue will be solved positively.”



Will Azerbaijan accept the Karabakh referendum? [ARM]
The article says that the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs said at a Council of Europe hearing on Nagorno Karabakh that the signing of an agreement on Basic Principles in Kazan is possible. Further, it says that Ioannis Kasulides, an EU MP, said he asked the co-chairs whether they had noticed a positive signal from Azerbaijan that it will agree to Karabakh’s final statue through a referendum, but received no answer. The article goes on to comment that such information is extremely confidential and cannot be unveiled ahead of the meeting in Kazan. It also says that the co-chairs mentioned that the version of the Basic Principles to be presented to the sides in Kazan is beneficial for both sides, but to accept it, the parties should demonstration political will.


‘Karabakh issue concerns to European Union too’ [ARM]

The article says that top EU official Miroslav Laicak stated at a hearing on Nagorno Karabakh, that the EU is ready to extend its role in the negotiations format over the Karabakh conflict and assist with the implementation of a peace agreement once it is signed. He also said that the Nagorno Karabakh conflict is the only one in neighborhood with the European Union but where the EU is not included directly. “We seek a far greater and more active political role. However, we realize that the any change at this sensitive stage of the talks will not contribute to the resolution which we all seek,” said he.

Kazan meeting to mark end of current stage of Karabakh talks – Democratic Party [ENG]
Leader of Armenia’s Democratic Party Aram Sargsyan said that the Kazan meeting between Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents will “mark the end of current stage of Karabakh talks”. According to him, it will be senseless to continue the talks unless the sides reach agreement, adding that the presidents will not reach consensus as the sides have diametrically opposite positions on Karabakh conflict settlement. Sargsyan further said he considers political solution to the conflict impossible. Instead, “it must be solved legally first, therefore Yerevan should recognize independence of Nagorno-Karabakh”.



Stars do not oblige: Davit Hakobyan [ARM]

According to this article, political analyst Davit Hakobyan said he has no expectations of the Kazan meeting by the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents, as there will not be anything new there. In his words for 20 years now Armenia’s authorities have been speculating on the Karabakh issue to hold power, while Karabakh itself has been left out of talks and become an outsider. “In fact, Yerevan keeps Artsakh [Karabakh] as a diplomatic tool for its charlatan actions,” said he. Further, he said that it’s high time for Armenia to withdraw from peace talks and give its place to Karabakh as a conflicting party.




That may happen in Kazan too [ARM]

The article says that though several experts, including the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs speak about a possible breakthrough in the Karabakh settlement trilateral meeting in Kazan, there are also people who are doubtful about it. Further, the author does not exclude that the parties may reach some agreement, some progress at the Kazan meeting but not in the sense of accepting the Madrid Principles but rather refusing them and getting along with the current status quo. The author goes on to explain that Azerbaijan might reconcile itself with the idea that all its efforts to change the current status quo are useless and have non future.



Azerbaijani MPs prepared to ask Serzh Sargsyan questions in person [ENG]
Azerbaijani MPs intend to actively participate in discussions and ask questions to Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan during his speech at the regular PACE session, said Azerbaijani MP Ganira Pashayeva. The MP said he was sure that the “aggressor must suffer appropriate punishment otherwise impunity in Armenia will generate new unlawful acts.” “If Europe wants to establish stability and prosperity on the continent, it now must become seriously engaged in resolving these problems,” she said.




Political analyst has no expectation on final agreement in Kazan [ARM]

According to this article, political analyst Manvel Sargsyan said that he does not believe that Yerevan and Baku have agreed on the updated version of the principles of the settlement of the Karabakh conflict. According to him, the recent statements by Armenia and Azerbaijan run counter to each other and leave no room for anyone to presume that the parties have reached any final agreement over those principles. “There is no impression that Azerbaijan has agreed. Their speeches are rather varying, and they constantly point at Armenia,” said he, adding that Azerbaijan warns Armenia “to behave constructively”.



MP says Azerbaijan is preparing for a war [ARM]

MP of the ruling Republican Party of Armenia Hamlet Harutyunyan said that Azerbaijan “does not even hide that is preparing for a war” and that their media is “full of such materials”. According to him, for this reason it is illogical to expect any progress from the trilateral meeting in Kazan. According to him, it would be wrong to expect that Azerbaijan would take “constructive steps” in Kazan. Further, he said he would like the parties to refer to the ceasefire agreement at the Kazan meeting.




Oskanian: “Before going to Kazan the president should say the people something” [ARM]
Former Armenian Foreign Minister Vardan Oskanian said that throughout the whole Karabakh conflict there has never been any period when all would say that everything is ready and that an agreement can be signed. Further, he said that Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan should say something to his people before going to Kazan. Referring to a recent statement by Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, who said that the principles of territorial integrity and self-determination should be reflected in an agreement, Oskanian said that Azerbaijani president means that self-determination will take place within territorial integrity.


Karabakh was left out of negotiations because of international community and Azerbaijan [ARM]

MP of the ruling Republican Party of Armenia Hamlet Harutyunyan said that Azerbaijan will continue its “destructive” stance over the Karabakh conflict as long as the international community does not exert pressure on Azerbaijan. “Azerbaijan is preparing for a war, and to curb the aggressor’s appetite a bold intervention is necessary rather than declarative statements,” said he. Harutyunyan further said that Nagorno Karabakh was left out of negotiations because of Azerbaijan and the international community.



Kazan is the last chance: Zaman [ENG]

The article make a reference to a news analysis in Turkish daily Zaman which says that the meeting between the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents to be held in Kazan, Russia, on June 25 is the last chance and the last hope for a peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict. Further, the article says that “speculations are that Iran is for maintaining the status quo in Karabakh, believing that by scraping it, Iran may lose its role in the region”. “Besides, Iran opposes the idea that Western peacekeepers – supposedly including NATO and US troops – be deployed in Nagorno Karabakh and adjacent territories. Iran has repeatedly stated it did not want to see Western peacekeepers in the region. In addition, it is seeking a broker’s role between the parties,” read the article.


Kazan will see either agreement or change of Minsk Group format: Experts [ARM]

Political expert Andreas Ghukasyan said at a press conference that the trilateral meeting in Kazan will decide whether or not the Minsk Group format will continue. According to him, if the Azerbaijani president does not sign what is currently on the table of negotiations, the Minsk Group format will change “because the OSCE cannot wait for Armenia and Azerbaijan to settle their issue and reach an agreement”. Political analyst Alexander Markarov, in turn, said that there will be two scenarios in Kazan. Under the first one, the parties will adopt a statement to express willingness to continue talks. In the second case, the parties will adopt a document that will include provisions that will serve as basis for negotiations.




Rauf Rajabov: Referendum cannot be held without Azerbaijanis’ participation [ARM]

According to this article, Azerbaijani political analysts Rauf Rajabov said that Baku expects “intermediary concrete results” from the meeting in Kazan. Rajabov went on to say that there have been several meeting between Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian presidents so far over the settlement of the Karabakh conflict, and the current atmosphere is indicative of the eventual adoption of a document that will include concrete principles – the withdrawal of Armenian troops from the seven regions adjacent Nagorno Karabakh, and the intermediate status of Nagorno Karabakh. He also said that Karabakh’s intermediate status is a threat to Azerbaijan and that there can be no referendum without the participation of Azerbaijanis who live in Karabakh.


Western experts don’t rule out a fresh war Karabakh [ARM]

The article says that Thomas de Waal, an expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said at an interview that the Karabakh conflict is not a frozen, but rather a “smoldering” one. “The current extent of war rhetoric makes a war more probable. It is not ruled out that there will be a moment when words will turn into action,” said he. Laurence Shits, the Director of the Caucasus Issues at the International Crisis Group, said that the new war will be disastrous and will harm the pipelines passing in this region. “Things may unveil in a very dangerous scenario when a huge displacement of refugees can be registered, while Russia and Turkey may be involved in the war,” said he.



All Karabakh conflict mediators have national interests in conflicting parties: Analyst [ENG]

Russian political analyst Vitali Zhuravlov said in an interview that all three co-chairs in the OSCE Minsk Group have national interests in the parties to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, and “if in the case of Azerbaijan, the issue is primarily about economic cooperation as a resource-rich country, then what prevails in Armenia’s case is the humanitarian factor, which is associated with the influence of its large diaspora in Russia, France and the United States”. “It should be noted that there are also many immigrants from Azerbaijan in Russia. Therefore, different lobby groups try to influence governments, public opinion and the countries having a mediating role in the relations with Armenia and Azerbaijan. As a result, the Minsk Group and other international organizations, as a rule, take a neutral stance, although occasionally there are preferences in one direction or another,” he said.



“Basic principles of Karabakh conflict resolution” may be signed at Kazan – source [ENG]

According to this article, an unnamed source said that the document on the basic principles of Karabakh conflict resolution may be approved at the meeting of Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian Presidents’ late-June meeting in Kazan, expert who previously was involved in preparation of the talks. “The document ‘Basic principles of Karabakh conflict resolution’ may be signed and presented as a significant progress in agreement of the text,” the source stressed.



In case of a fresh war in Karabakh there will be clashes between Armenians and Azerbaijanis in Russia [ARM]

Mikhail Deliagin, the head of the Institute of Globalization Issues, said that he does not expect any breakthrough at the meeting Kazan. Instead, according to him, there will be “insignificants steps which will satisfy the parties at this stage”. “This way we will have not escalation of tension but rather reduction of tension,” said he. Further, he said that there are great Armenian and Azerbaijani diasporas in Russian and that there is a possibility of clashes between these two diasporas, should there be a fresh war in Karabakh.



NKR should resolve its problem itself [ARM]
The article says that the Foreign Minister of the unrecognized Republic of Nagorno Karabakh Georgi Petrosyan said that the fundamental issue of the Karabakh conflict is the recognition of Karabakh. He also said that Nagorno Karabakh has made it clear that any solution without Karabakh’s participation cannot be adopted. “One thing is clear – the international documents related to Karabakh have been adopted and mentioned that the NKR is a party to the conflict,” said he. Further he said that issues related to the Karabakh conflict must be resolve by Karabakh itself.


Armenia ceding step by step [ARM]

According to this article, General Arkady Ter-Tadevosyan said that he could not predict what exactly will happen in Kazan when the Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian presidents meet. He went on to say that whatever happens there, will not be beneficial for Armenia. He also stressed that because of its foreign policy Armenia is making concessions to Azerbaijan over the settlement of the Karabakh conflict. Further, he said that the Karabakh issue is already resolved, as “it is an established state.” But that fact is not properly presented to the world, he added.



Karabakh peace process will not work without us – Karabakh MFA [ENG]

Georgi Petrosyan, the Foreign Minister of the unrecognized Republic of Nagorno Karabakh said that although Nagorno Karabakh does not participate in current stage of conflict settlement, Karabakhi authorities are minutely informed about all proceedings. Asked why Nagorno Karabakh does not participate in negotiation process, Petrosyan said that the reason is not in Armenia’s or Azerbaijan’s standing on the matter, it is rather the mediators’ opinion that two negotiators will agree faster than three sides. Petrosyan emphasized that without Karabakh nothing will work out. “They can destroy us, but they cannot decide without us. Hence, they will have to tell us they want to destroy us, but they will have put it boldly. If they are ready, so are we.”




Armenian delegation in PACE condemns sub-committee on Karabakh [ARM]

The article says that the Armenian delegation to PACE did not participate in the activities of the PACE sub-committee on Nagorno Karabakh. The sub-committee, however, convened a session which was attended by the co-rapporteurs on Armenia. Jordi Khugla, the head of the sub-committee on Karabakh expressed hope that the Armenian delegation will change its stance. He also said that the decision of the Armenian delegation to boycott the sessions cannot disrupt the activities of the sub-committees.


Azerbaijan may grant citizenship to those Armenians who lived in NK before 1992 [ARM]

The article says that Bayram Safarov, the head of an NGO, said that the Armenians – as well as their children – who lived in Nagorno Karabakh before 1992 can get IDs and receive Azerbaijani citizenship. He also said that if the Armenians abide with the Azerbaijani law at the first stage, they will also be able to become citizens of Azerbaijan.



OSCE chief hopes Kazan meeting of presidents may lead to conflict settlement [ENG]

OSCE Secretary General Marc Perrin de Brichambaut said he hopes that the Kazan meeting may lead to the conflict settlement. “We hope for peace and stability in this region and do believe that the meeting in Kazan will be successful and help settle the conflict,” he was quoted by the Russian agency RIA Novosti as saying at a news conference in Moscow.


Karabakh remains key issue for Armenia – Sargsyan [ENG]

Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan said in a speech at the Council of Europe Parliamentary Assembly’s summer session that Nagorno Karabakh continues to remain a key issue for Armenia. “We regret to note that manifestations of racism and intolerance are being observed on the territory of the Council of Europe,” he said, adding that the Karabakh conflict settlement will be impossible “unless Azerbaijan gives up its anti-Armenian propaganda”. Sargsyan further said that only the people of Karabakh should determine their fate.


I am going to Kazan with expectation for constructive talks [ENG]

According to this article Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan said at a news conference held jointly with the Council of Europe President Thorbjorn Jagland in Strasbourg that he is “going to Kazan with expectations for constructive talks” over the Nagorno Karabakh conflict. “We have gone through a long process of negotiations. We have discussed scores of issues. The stance of the parties is clear. I think time has come for the parties to voice their final positions. Let’s wait to see what the talks will produce,” said Sargsyan.



The goals of the PACE sub0committee are unclear for the Armenian side [ARM]

This article says that Armenia’s president said at a briefing in Strasbourg that he thinks the activities of the PACE sub-committee on Karabakh without the Armenian side’s participation are impossible and make no sense. Serzh Sargsyan further mentioned that the PACE Bureau should have taken it into account before making a decision to resume the activities of that sub-committee. He also said that the activities and the goals of that sub-committee are not clear for the Armenian side.



Sargsyan urges PACE colleagues to exercise some restraint when it comes to Karabakh [ENG]

This article says that Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan, addressing the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) in Strasbourg and referring to the trilateral meeting of the presidents of Russia, Armenia and Azerbaijan in Kazan, said that no agreement on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict can be finalized and implemented “without Armenophobia and racism being eliminated in Azerbaijan”. Sargsyan also said that he is “confident that the overwhelming majority of our colleagues at the PACE, who have expressed or will express a desire to discuss any issue related to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, have done or will do so out of good will. “However, some can still act on the basis of inadequate information, which can indeed undermine the process. Therefore, I urge all of you to exercise some restraint. The main guidance should be the principle of causing no harm,” he said.



Armenia never prepared people for war – President [ENG]

This article says that Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan said at a briefing in Strasbourg that the Council of Europe’s activities are very useful as “we learn not to answer by intolerance to intolerance”. “For instance, the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict has not been solved for years. In my capacity as a defense minister I have been speaking about resolution of the conflict by mutual concessions for 15 years. Have you heard this from Azerbaijani officials? This is what I mean when speaking about intolerance. I highly appreciate the statement made by U.S., French and Russian Presidents in Deauville which indicates we should prepare people for peace, not war. We have not been preparing our people for war for 20 years,” he said.


Armenia, Azerbaijan perceive Madrid principles differently – President [ENG]

Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan said at a briefing in Strasbourg that Armenia and Azerbaijan perceive the Madrid Principles differently. He went on to say that Azerbaijanis have “recently claimed they are willing to reach settlement by military means” which is a violation of the principle of non-use of force or threat of force. “As regards the second principle [territorial integrity], we have no problem. The Armenian government has never represented territorial claims not only to Azerbaijan, but other states as well. For this reason, Armenia has not recognized Nagorno-Karabakh’s independence” said Sargsyan.


It is time for parties to Karabakh conflict voice positions on basic principles – Armenian President [ENG]

According to this article Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan said in a briefing in Strasbourg that “it is time for the parties to the Karabakh conflict to voice their positions on the basic principles of the conflict settlement. Sargsyan also said he is “going to Kazan in high spirit and in anticipation of a constructive dialogue”. “Later it will be clear how the talks will end,” he said adding that talks on Nagorno Karabakh started long ago and the sides have already managed to discuss many issues.



Heritage party concerned over Kazan meeting [ENG]
The article says that ahead of the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents’ meeting in Kazan opposition Armenian party Heritage issued a statement, expressing concerns over the prospects of signing a document on the settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict without the country’s direct involvement in the process. In the statement the party said that is “rejects the efforts to present as negotiations the Armenia-Azerbaijan format of meetings, which are held in the absence of the legitimate authorities of the Mountainous Karabakh Republic (MKR), or Artsakh”. The Heritage party also said it regards the “prospect of Armenia’s endorsement of a document which is designed under force or duress by Azerbaijan, and in MKR’s absence, as a criminal plot that is condemned to fail against MKR”.


Kazan meeting may mark turning point in conflict settlement process – Azeri vice speaker [ENG]

According to this article, vice speaker of the Azerbaijani parliament Bahar Muradova said that the negotiations over the Nagorno Karabakh conflict settlement have entered an active phase, with the mediators and officials from different countries inspiring positivism. “All this inspires hopes that the Kazan meeting may mark a turning point in the conflict settlement process,” the Azerbaijani news agency Trend quoted him as saying. The Azerbaijani official said the elaboration of a peace agreement would be possible in case the parties agree over the Basic Principles in Kazan.


Moscow anticipates landmark progress of Kazan meeting [ENG]
This news article says that the Russian Foreign Ministry issued a statement in which it said that the “Kazan meeting between Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents will be of landmark importance for the settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict”. “The meeting is called to play a landmark role in the settlement of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict. We expect Yerevan and Baku to provide a constructive response to the May 26 joint statement adopted by the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairing countries in Deauville. It calls upon the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents to demonstrate a political will and finalize the draft Basic Principles on the NK conflict settlement,” read the statement.


Armenian party says any forced decision over Karabakh to lead to war [ENG]

Social Democrat Hunchak Party said in a statement that any attempt of a forced decision over the Karabakh conflict “will lead to war in Karabakh”. “Peace cannot be imposed at the expense of depriving [the people of Karabakh] of their homeland and their right to decide their own fate.”

The statement also says that deployment of peacekeeping troops would endanger “our country’s sovereignty”, and that Armenian and Karabakhi forces are fully capable of protecting their countries.


Armenian, Azerbaijani leaders should seize opportunity to peacefully resolve differences – Mark Toner [ENG]

According to this article, Mark Toner, an acting deputy spokesman at the US Department of State, said he is very positive about the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents’ upcoming meeting in Kazan. “There is a meeting of the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents in Kazan, Russian city of Kazan, within couple of days. I know that United States and also the other two co-chairmen country recently activated efforts to bring the sides together. And I was wondering if there is any message from Washington or from this building to both sides, to Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents, prior to this important meeting to bring the positions together and exclude any military ,” Toner said in a speech at the Department of State. He also characterized the Kazan meeting a good opportunity to settle the dispute and said the leaders of the conflicting parties should seize the moment “to peacefully resolve their differences”.



No paper signed will be a document unless Artsakh is there – MP [ENG]

Larisa Alaverdyan, MP of the opposition Armenian Heritage party said that no statement to be adopted between the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents in Kazan can be a document unless Nagorno Karabakh is there. “Whatever paper is adopted there, it cannot be considered a document because Artsakh is not involved in the talks,” she said. Further, Alaverdyan said that

She does not expect the meeting to mark a turning point in the Nagorno Karabakh conflict settlement process, adding that a drastic change in the authorities’ stance over the issue is needed to achieve that.



Ter-Petrosyan: There still is chance for peaceful settlement of Karabakh conflict [ENG]

Former Armenian President Levon Ter-Petrosyan said in an interview with the Russian newspaper Moskovskiye Novosti, there still is chance for a peaceful settlement of the Karabakh conflict. “However, if the process fails, the resumption of war is possible,” he said. Further, Levon Ter-Petrosyan said that no Armenian leader is interested in war and if the war begins it would be Azerbaijan’s initiative. He went on to say that the West does not make enough efforts for the conflict settlement because it is involved in “bigger issues,” like Iraq, Afghanistan, North Korea and Iran.




Karabakhis don’t believe in the possibility of returning territories
The article says that the Central Committee of Dashnaktsutyun party in Karabakh issued a statement, calling on the parties to refrain from making steps that would destabilize the existing balance and peace in Nagorno Karabakh. Further, it says that a Karabakhi resident said that Armenia’s president will hardly sign any document despite the will of the Karabakhi people. Another resident said that the Karabakh will hardly return any territories to Azerbaijan as those territories were taken at the expense of human losses and ensure their security.

Kazan Meeting can lead to solution of Karabakh conflict: OSCE Secretary General [ENG]

According to this news article, OSCE Secretary General Marc Perrin de Brichambaut said he believes that the meeting in Kazan can lead to a solution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. “We hope for peace and stability in the region and we hope that the meeting in Kazan will be successful and lead to a resolution of the conflict,” he said.



Unless Baku recognizes right to self-determination, progress of recent decades will be lost – Armenian president [ENG]

This article says that Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan said that Armenia is against unilateral concessions when it comes to the Karabakh conflict. “We are for bilateral concessions. Must we make concessions with a state that is prepared to train weapons on us?” said he. Further, Sargsyan said that the progress of recent decades will be lost if Azerbaijan does not recognize the right to self-determination because if the right to self-determination is not feasible, how was it possible to create ten new states from other states in the recent decades. Sargsyan also said that the international community has called on Armenia, Karabakh and Azerbaijan to give a definitive answer on “whether or not we are ready to move towards a solution based on these principals. We have been told to answer “yes” or “no” without delay. This is the question we have to answer in Kazan”.



Armenian side commands balance availing more confidence at Karabakh talks – expert [ENG]

The Director of Noravank Foundation Gagik Harutyunyan said that two circumstances that can affect the negotiation process over the Karabakh conflict have changed before the meeting of Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents in Kazan. According to him, the activity of snipers on the contact line between Karabakh and Azerbaijani armed forces decreased. “Despite the ongoing shootings on the contact line, no one is killed. This circumstance can be conditioned with the call of the three presidents in Deauville, as well as the relevant answer of Armenian side. He also said that “there is a balance that allows the Armenian side to be more confident in Kazan meeting”.


Obama should defend self-determination for Karabakh – ANCA [ENG]

This news item said that the Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA) Executive Director Aram Hamparian issued a statement citing the Obama administration’s failure to apply the democratic principle of self-determination in its Nagorno-Karabakh diplomacy. Hamparian said that “the direction of U.S. diplomacy on Nagorno-Karabakh, including the OSCE Minsk Group proposal which will be discussed at the upcoming Kazan summit, runs contrary to the very principles of self-determination, freedom, and democracy that President Obama so ardently advocated,” he said. Further Hamparian mentioned that the “Obama administration should, first and foremost, require that the official representatives of the Nagorno-Karabakh Republic be fully and immediately reinstated in the peace process, and then move forward, not by pressuring the Armenian side into reckless concessions, but rather by acting in the spirit of the president’s powerful words”.



Even Minsk Group has no idea of OSCE’s role in Karabakh peace process – expert [ENG]
Russian political expert Fyodor Lukianov said that attempts to resolve the Karabakh conflict shifted to a format of Russia’s diplomatic efforts and meetings of Dmitry Medvedev with Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders. “Even in the case of Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, where the OSCE Minsk Group traditionally acts as the main subject of the political process, there is no clear vision of what role the organization can play,” he said.



Big powers press for progress on Karabakh conflict – Reuters [ENG]

This news article, re-published from Reuters, says that Armenia and Azerbaijan are under pressure from global powers for a breakthrough over the Karabakh conflict at a meeting in the Russian city of Kazan. It also says that after years of struggling to shepherd Armenia and Azerbaijan toward a resolution, the United States, Russia and France – leaders of international mediation efforts – are pushing for a serious step forward, hoping that the meeting hosted in Kazan will bring final agreement on a 14-point framework document – known as the Basic Principles – that would set the stage for talks on a peace settlement. The article concludes that a breakthrough would be a boon for Medvedev, Obama and Sarkozy, all

three of whom may run for re-election next year.


Some progress is being made, but many obstacles to peace remain [ENG]

The article, republished from The Economist, says that Karabakh has gained some features of a state since the declaration of independence, but is the most combustive spot in the region. Azerbaijan, it goes on, has poured energy revenues into its army, spending $3 billion a year (5% of GDP) and “makes menacing noises about re-conquest”. “A new war would risk Azerbaijan’s petro-wealth, but irrational behavior is all too common in the Caucasus. A renewed conflict in a region that includes Turkey, Iran, Russia and Georgia is the stuff of nightmares” reads the article. Further, it says that Russia’s President Dmitry Medvedev has invested time and effort in what will be his fifth trilateral meeting, yet many experts who have watched these peace talks fail repeatedly remain skeptical. It also says that the leaders of the two countries “seem to prefer process to results and have done nothing to prepare people for peace. They may negotiate compromises in private, but they make fiery ‘no surrender’ speeches in public,” the article adds.



Kommersant: Armenia, Azerbaijan to refrain from using force after Kazan meeting [ENG]

Citing an anonymous high-ranking source of the Russian Foreign Ministry, the Russian newspaper Kommersant reported the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents will sign a legally binding agreement at their meeting in Kazan, expressing their commitment to refrain from using force in the zone of conflict. “The content of the document to be signed in Kazan is strictly confidential. So far, only certain principles have been acceptable to Baku and Yerevan. But it’s only now that the [mediators] managed to talk the parties into accepting the entire package of principles, with the decisive progress in this direction having been recorded only at the meeting in Sochi,” the source said, adding that Baku and Yerevan are willing to sign the document.



Aliyev: Karabakh conflict is not frozen [ENG]

Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev said in an interview with Euronews that the personal involvement of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev helps us come closer to a settlement over the Karabakh conflict. “Therefore, our expectations are optimistic and we think that if the Armenian side will show a constructive approach and will find the political will to make important steps forward, the conflict can be resolved very soon,” said he. Further, Aliyev said that there is a very clear understanding in the world that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is not a frozen one. “It is not. And the ceasefire is very fragile. The permanent violation of the ceasefire and the line of contact are of serious concern, I think, to all of us – to Azerbaijan, to Armenia, to the international community,” said he.




Bradtke: That is not a peace agreement [ARM]

According to this article Robert Bradtke, the US Co-Chair of the OSCE Minsk Group said at a briefing in Moscow that the basic principles are not a peace agreement. Bradtke explained that it is a 5.5 page long framework document, consisting of 14 points which are guidelines for the parties as to how conduct the peace talks. “They are guidelines for [foreign] ministers how to formulate the important issues to achieve peace agreement,” said he.




Each comma could be fatal: Zurabyan on Sargsyan-Aliyev meeting in Kazan [ENG]

Levon Zurabyan, senior representative of the opposition Armenian National Congress (HAK) said at a press conference in Yerevan that the HAK’s position on the presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan signing a document during their meeting in Kazan Friday is conditioned by two circumstances: the first is the actual document itself, and the second is the reaction of the people and authorities of Nagorno-Karabakh. “In the [Armenian National] Congress, there are such diplomats who realize that each word, each comma can be fatal; thus, we have to see the document. The Congress is an ardent advocate of Nagorno-Karabakh’s self-determination and their [i.e. Nagorno-Karabakh’s] response is much more important,” he said.



Now up to Sargsyan, Aliyev to decide if war or peace is more threatening: Sabine Freizer [ENG]

International Crisis Group Europe Program Director Sabine Freizer wrote in an op-ed in New York Times that the US, the European Union and Russia don’t seem to agree on much these days over the Karabakh conflict. “But in the volatile South Caucasus, they concur that Armenia and Azerbaijan need to sign an agreement on Friday if they are serious about finding a peaceful solution to the decades-old Nagorno-Karabakh conflict,” read the article. She went on to say that “it is now up to Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan and Azerbaijani Ilham Aliyev to decide if war or peace is more threatening. They have done very little to prepare their people for peace and a lot to prepare them for war. But they could still convince their citizenry of the advantages of compromise. If a deal is forthcoming in Kazan, they will need to do a lot to prevent spoilers from surfacing”.




Obama calls Sargsyan and Aliyev [ARM]

The article says that the US President Barack Obama had a phone conversation with Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents ahead of the trilateral meeting in Kazan and reaffirmed the call made in the Deauville statement which said that time has come for all the conflicting parties to take decisive steps for the settlement of the conflict. Obama called on Serzh Sargsyan and Ilham Aliyev to finalize and back the basic principles in Kazan. After that, Obama added, the parties can start talks over the non-use of force or threat of using force, territorial integrity and nations’ right to self-determination. Obama also told the two presidents that it’s the most suitable moment to build a better future for their offsprings by resolving the Karabakh conflict.



Bradtke: “We are at very serious point of negotiations process” [ARM]

According to this news item, the US Co-Chair of the OSCE Minsk Group, Robert Bradtke, said at a briefing in Moscow that the conflicting parties to the Karabakh conflict are at very serious point at the moment of the negotiations process. Speaking about the meeting to be held in Kazan, Bradtke said: “In my view, this is perhaps the most important point in the process since 2001 when efforts were being made in Key West to achieve a peace agreement.”  Bradtke also said that the basic principles are not a peace agreement, but rather a framework document.




Armenia should not agree to vague wordings on Karabakh – ARF Dashnaktsutyun [ARM]

Progress in Karabakh talks in Kazan will be reached only if Azerbaijan clarifies the status of Nagorno-Karabakh, said MP from ARF Dashnaktsutyun Armen Rustamyan. “Armenia should not agree to any vague wordings. If the Armenian side does not receive clear mechanisms for implementation of self-determination principle and the status, all other principles are unacceptable,” he said. Speaking about the possible signing of a document in Kazan, which will legally confirm non-use of force, Rustamyan noted it had to be the first document proposed by the mediators. “This document must be in conformity with the ceasefire agreement,” he added.




Armenian, Azerbaijani leaders failed to sign a deal – WSJ [ENG]
The news item makes a reference to an article by The Wall Street Journal which says that Armenia and Azerbaijan failed to sign a deal aimed at resolving their “frozen” conflict over Nagorno Karabakh at a summit hosted by Russia. The author of the article finds that Presidents Aliyev and Sargsyan missed the best chance to reach a final breakthrough. “The summit in Kazan was seen as the best chance there has been in a decade of negotiations for the two sides to reach agreement on a set of principles that diplomats and analysts hope would prevent a potential slide back to war,” read the article.



Azerbaijan ignored Deauville statement – Sharmazanov [ENG]

Spokesperson for the ruling Republican Party of Armenia, Eduard Sharmazanov said that “by failing to sign a peace accord in Kazan, Azerbaijan actually ignored the Deauville statement” which calls on Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents to prepare their peoples for peace rather than for war. He further referred to Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents’ interviews to Euronews TV channel ahead of the meeting in Kazan, “with Serzh Sargsyan stressing the importance of mutual concessions and Ilham Aliyev claiming he had nothing to concede”.

“Yesterday’s meeting came to prove that Azerbaijan is leading the [Nagorno Karabakh] conflict to a deadlock, ignoring three [co-chairing countries’] presidents, and I think opinions against the country should be clearly stated,” he said.


Kazan summit yielded no result – Hurriyet [ENG]

This article says that the Turkish newspaper Hurriyet reported that the presidential summit between Armenia and Azerbaijan held in Kazan yielded absolutely no result. “The two countries’ leaders, who met in Kazan with the mediation of the Russian president, failed to reach an agreement and put an end to the conflict that has been hanging in the air for 23 years,” read the article. Further, it said that the “road map elaborated by Russia, the United States and France as a basic document was expected to win the two leaders’ approval. But a short statement issued after the summit says the parties did not adopt the Madrid Principles, and only expressed willingness to continue the contacts.”


Azerbaijan’s policies hampered progress in Kazan – expert [ENG]

Armenian political analyst Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan said that Azerbaijan’s policies hampered progress at the trilateral meeting in Kazan. According to him, Azerbaijan had proposed ten amendments to the final version of the Basic Principles, but as those proposals were unacceptable to Armenia, the parties restricted themselves only to a joint statement. “Experience shows that negotiations which drag on for years do not produce any result,” he said, stressing the need of amending the Minsk Group format. He also noted that new formats create new opportunities and added in the meantime that it’s not very easy to elaborate clauses enabling the parties to agree to a long-term peace. Melik Shahnazaryan stressed the importance of adopting radical changes that would help keep the Nagorno Karabakh issue under a permanent spotlight.



Sharmazanov: The three presidents have accepted territorial integrity [ARM]

This article says that the Spokesperson for the ruling Republican Party of Armenia, Eduard Sharmazanov, said that during the presidency of all three presidents of Armenia “it has been mentioned that Armenia recognizes Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity, while NKR has nothing to do with it, as it has never been part of independent Azerbaijan”.  He also said that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is not a territorial dispute, but rather an exercise of the right to self-determination that has been implemented in line with the norms of the Constitution of the Soviet Union and the international law.


Kazan did not prove a breakthrough [ARM]

According to this article, Armenia’s Foreign Minsiter Edward Nalbandyan said that there was no breakthrough at the trilateral meeting in Kazan because “Azerbaijan was not ready to accept the final version of the Basic Principles proposed by the co-chairs.” “The Azerbaijani side proposed about a dozen amendments to the Basic Principles, and that was the reason the Kazan meeting was not a breakthrough,” said he. Further, Nalbandyan said that the meeting in Kazan was, however, an important one in the sense that several details were discussed during that meeting and Russia’s President Dmitry Medvedev expressed willingness to continue efforts for the agreement on the principles that will lead to an eventual agreement.

Joint statement adopted in Kazan [ARM]

The article says that the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents made a statement over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, following a Russia-mediated meeting in Kazan. In the statement the presidents said that they have reached mutual understanding over a series of issues the resolution of which contributes to the creation of the necessary conditions for the approval of the Basic Principles. The statement also said that the parties have agreed on the activities over the draft of the Basic Principles. The Armenian and the Azerbaijani presidents also expressed gratitude to the presidents of the OSCE co-chair countries for the constant attention they pay for the settlement of the Karabakh conflict.



Washington to become active in negotiations on Karabakh – expert [ENG]

Political analyst Yervand Bozoyan said that the “optimism of co-chairing states of OSCE Minsk group on the eve of Kazan meeting of Armenian, Russian and Azerbaijani presidents was somewhat strange on the basis of absolute non-constructive behavior of Baku regarding negotiations”. “Kazan meeting of the three presidents showed that the more Armenia compromises, the more Azerbaijanis appetite increases. International community already gets it,” he said. Bozoyan further said that the U.S. may become active after the Kazan meeting on the ground that Russian domination gave weak results. According to him Azerbaijan actively shifts its format of negotiations, which runs counter to the interests of Armenian side.



Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents to hold two more meetings of same format – Armenian opposition [ENG]

The entire process of Karabakh conflict settlement has not seen more favorable atmosphere for rapprochement of the sides’ positions, the opposition Armenian National Congress (ANC) member, leader of Armenian Liberal party Hovhannes Hovhannisyan said, reflecting on Kazan meeting. According to him, negotiations will continue in the same format for the rest of the year.

“I suppose, Russia will initiate two more meetings between Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents by the end of the year. It is highly probable that the two leaders should have a second meeting this summer,” Hovhannisyan said, adding that in case the new meetings achieve no progress, “we should expect either a new war or a new format and logistics of negotiations.”


OSCE head stresses need for continued efforts towards Karabakh conflict settlement [ENG]

The OSCE Chairperson-in-Office, Lithuanian Foreign Minister Audronius Azubalis, stressed the importance to continue the efforts towards reaching a comprehensive peace settlement on the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. “I welcome the efforts in reaching common understanding on a number of issues whose resolution will help create the conditions for approval of the Basic Principles. I hope the work to address the outstanding issues will be continued, to pave the way towards resolving the conflict,” Azubalis said, adding that the “OSCE stands ready to support and complement, including via my personal representative on the conflict, any efforts made at the tripartite level and under the auspices of the OSCE Minsk Group Co-Chairs, to put an end to confrontation and instability in the South Caucasus”.


Ways of Karabakh’s peaceful settlement aren’t discernable – expert [ENG]
According to this article, Russian political expert Sergei Mikheev said in an interview with the Russian online daily Vzglyad that the ways of the Karabakh conflict’s peaceful settlement are not discernable, and it is not excluded that the conflict may be resolved through military action.
“I don’t think the use of force would be the best version for the Azerbaijani side. But such possibility, of course, they do consider and they do display their decisiveness to others,” said he.
Further, Mikheev said that the Karabakh conflict, if turned into a fresh war, will entail disastrous consequences, because Azerbaijan will hardly manage to implement a blitzkrieg with minimum human losses.


OSCE brokerage efforts in Karabakh conflict useless – Die Tageszeitung [ENG]

The German publication Die Tageszeitung wrote that Russian President Dmitry Medvedev hoped there would be a breakthrough in the Karabakh conflict settlement in the Kazan summit of the Armenian and Azeri presidents. “The signing of a road map was supposed to put an end to the conflict that goes back to the Soviet times,” the publication said. “But the OSCE Minsk Group efforts were useless.” It also said that the West believes Moscow should assume the responsibility of making decisions in the post-Soviet conflicts.



War may resume at any moment – Azeri activist [ENG]

Akif Nagi, the head of the Azerbaijan-based organization for Liberation of Karabakh said that Azerbaijan is ready to resume the war with Nagorno Karabakh any moment. Nagi said that the military equipment demonstrated during the Azerbaijani Armed Forces Parade on Sunday should be used in the battlefield. “The Kazan Summit serves as a basis for launching a war,” he told the Azerbaijani news website Salam News. Further, Azeri activist said his country has fulfilled all the agreements following the Kazan meeting and added in the meantime that Armenia has failed to do so. “And because Armenia has failed to fulfill the agreements, Azerbaijan has to launch a war,” he said.




Karabakhi experts about the Kazan meeting [ARM]

In this article Karabakhi political expert Masis Mailyan says that the document proposed at the Kazan meeting runs counter to the Armenian side’s interests and in this context it is good that the final version of the Madrid Principles were not accepted at the Kazan meeting.  “What is negative is that the sides will still continue to work on the Madrid Principles as mentioned in the joint statement and that this document still remains on the table of negotiations,” said he. Hrachya Arzumanyan, another expert, said that to reach an agreement the talks should be conducted by Karabakh rather than by Armenia. “The resolution may happen if Artsakh’s [Karabakh] opinion is listened to and taken into account,” said he.




Medvedev gives ultimatum to Sargsyan, Aliyev: Kommersant [ENG]

The article says that at a meeting in Kazan on Friday, presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan Serzh Sargsyan and Ilham Aliyev, contrary to expectations, failed to agree on a “road map” to resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, pledging to continue negotiations. However, future talks may take place without the participation of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev.

According to information received by the Russian-language publication Kommersant, the Russian president is so disappointed at the outcome of the Kazan summit that he was ready to terminate his mediation mission. He is prepared to organize the next Aliyev-Sargsyan meeting only if the two presidents finally sign a document on the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, according to Kommersant.



Azerbaijan’s war-mongering rhetoric intended for domestic audience – expert [ENG]

Political analyst Stepan Grigoryan said that following Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian presidents’ meeting in Kazan, the likelihood of resumption of military hostilities in Karabakh has not increased. He stressed the intensification of “Azerbaijan’s war-mongering rhetoric is logical, as Baku’s expectations about the meeting were not fulfilled”. “However, Baku will not dare to put its military threats into effect, realizing the likelihood of a tough response of the international community to the military action,” the expert emphasized.


Kazan meeting revealed Moscow’s limited impact on sides of Karabakh conflict – expert [ENG]

The meeting of Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian presidents in Kazan showed that Moscow’s influence on the sides of Karabakh conflict is limited, said the head of analytical center for Globalization Stepan Grigoryan. According to him, Kazan meeting proved that Russia might insist on a document on exclusively peaceful resolution of the conflict or on war prisoners’ exchange but never on compromises unacceptable for conflicting sides. Grigoryan noted that the presidents did not sign a document, given the polar contradictions of the approaches. Therefore Kazan meeting put an end to the stage of “artificial optimism” in negotiations process.



Hmayak Hovhannisyan: ‘Aliyev will continue to prepare its people for war [ARM]

Armenian political analyst Hmayak Hovhannisyan said that while the Russian and Armenian presidents were enjoying the horse race, their Azerbaijani counterpart Ilham Aliyev left Kazan for Baku to attend the parade dedicated to Independence Day and armed forces which is an apparent demonstration of force. According to him, Ilham Aliyev continues to prepare the Azerbaijani people for a war rather than for peace. Speaking about the meeting in Kazan, Hovhannisyan said there may one more such meeting by the end of this year, though in a different format. Then the interest in the Karabakh conflict will fade away as everybody will be busy with their own internal problems.




US needs Karabakh in order to attack Iran – analyst

Russian political analyst Vladimir Zakharov said, according to this article, that the US needs Nagorno Karabakh in order to attack Iran. “The United States has not yet given up the idea of launching a war against Iran. That war is planned for 2012. As the time is drawing near, it is becoming more and more obvious that the Americans need a territory near Iran to make their planes’ takeoff possible,” he said. The expert noted that the territory of the Nagorno Karabakh may be used as a temporary zone for launching military operations. Speaking of the Kazan summit, he added: “A document was likely to be signed before the meeting, but Azerbaijan proposed ten amendments. I am sure the context is clear. [Some powers], probably the West, had been negotiating with [Azeri President] Ilham Aliyev to talk him out of signing anything,” he said.


Big powers undermine speedy settlement of Karabakh conflict – Iranian speaker [ENG]

This article says that the Iranian parliament speaker Ali Larijani said when big powers intervene regional conflicts are not settled for a long time as those powers pursue their own interests.

“OSCE Minsk Group has been brokering a settlement for years, what’s the result?” said he, adding that which is why they think that such conflicts should be settled inside a given region because the regional countries understand each other better.



Stepan Demirchyan had no expectations from the Kazan meeting [ARM]

Stepan Demirchyan, the leader of the Armenian People’s Party said that he did not expect any breakthrough from the meeting in Kazan. However, he said that the absence of a breakthrough does not necessarily mean that pressure on the sides will be reduced. Demirchyan also said that any change in the format of peace talks is unlikely and no other document other than the Madrid Principles will be proposed to the sides.


US Department of State: Kazan disappointed [ARM]

According to this article, a US Department of State spokesperson Victoria Newland said that the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents failed to reach an agreement over the final version of the Madrid Principles which was disappointing. “Though in their joint statement with [Russian President Dmitry] Medvedev both mentioned that they improved mutual understanding over a couple of issues and agree to continue to work on the Basic Principles … I should say that it disappointed [us],” said she.




Existence of C-300 complexes in Azerbaijan ‘won’t affect the Armenian-Azerbaijani military setting” [ARM]
According to this article, first Deputy of Armenia’s Defense Minister, Davit Tonoyan, said that the fact that Azerbaijan has Russia-made C-300 missile systems will in no way affect the military setting between Armenia and Azerbaijan and will give Azerbaijan no advantages. “As what concerns the possibility of resumption of military actions I think Azerbaijan should be ready to conduct military actions in its own territory too when the C-300 will hardly provide any effective support,” said he. Further, he said that those missile defense systems do not pose any threat to Armenia’s or Karabakh’s security as in nature they are protective weapons rather than offensive ones.


American-Armenian organizations call for Karabakh’s inclusion in talks [ARM]

According to this article, Elizabeth S. Chouldjian, the head of the Washington office of the Armenian Caucus said that a real resolution to the Karabakh conflict will be possible under two circumstances: first, when the authorities of the Nagorno Karabakh participate in the peace talks, and secondly, when the exercise of the self-determination right of the Karabakhi people is at the core of the peace talks. Further, she said that the US president had promised that he would fight for the implementation of the self-determination right of the Karabakhi people but has backtracked on his pledge much in the same way as that of recognizing the Armenian Genocide.



No war in Karabakh this year due to Eurovision: Safaryan [ENG]

Acceding to this article, Stepan Safaryan, MP of the opposition party Heritage, said that it’s not worth expecting major shifts in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. Even the possibility of war doesn’t seem real to him. “In any case, there can’t be a war this year at least because Azerbaijan, with great fanfare, is preparing for Eurovision, and probably one of the smartest moves by the Armenian side will be to appeal to the international community with the proposal to declare Baku the Eurovision capital once and for all,” said he.



Russian, Armenian experts consider resumption of war in Karabakh unlikely [ENG]

This article says that Armenian and Russian experts consider resumption of war unlikely in the Karabakh conflict zone. Political analyst, Alexander Markarov said that “Baku will not dare to exercise its military threats as such decisions depend on the international community rather than on Baku”. He stressed Turkey pours water into Azerbaijan’s “military mill”, which provokes Baku to toughen its positions on the Karabakh issue. Vladimir Zakharov, the head of the Moscow Institute of Political and Social Studies in the Black Sea and Caspian Region, in turn, said the Azerbaijani army is “poor morally and spiritually”. “Azerbaijanis will hardly want to fight for Nagorno Karabakh. Russian Azerbaijanis say they will not fight for Nagorno Karabakh, as they do not need it. Moreover, the Azeri President will hardly dare to resume hostilities, as  he will be labeled as an aggressor, whereas Aliyev wants to appear before the international community as a pacifist,” he concluded



Negotiations over Karabakh conflict proceed with variable intensity – expert [ENG]

Negotiation process over Karabakh conflict resolution proceeds with variable intensity, since this up and down ensures peace in the conflict zone, said the Director of the Armenian branch of the Institute of CIS countries Alexander Markarov to a Yerevan-Moscow TV bridge. He emphasized that the proposals of OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs should change, Helsinki principles, with their fundamental point of people’s right to self-determination, will nevertheless remain the basis for Karabakh conflict settlement. “However Baku will never agree to this principal,” said Markarov, adding that the resolution of Karabakh conflict is impossible without Stepanakert’s direct participation.



Monopolization of mediatory mission in Karabakh is unacceptable – expert [ENG]

According to this news article, Armenian political expert Karen Bekaryan said that the negotiation process over Karabakh conflict resolution fails to produce results “because of Azerbaijan’s insincere position,” because the “Azeri leader is constantly using war-mongering rhetoric in his country and displays quite a different position at the peace talks”. The expert stressed that no real breakthrough will be achieved in the peace process without Karabakh’s involvement. He also said that monopolization of the mediatory mission in the peace process by one of the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairing countries is unacceptable.


War to resume in Karabakh in case Russia reduces efforts on mediation – expert [ENG]

Russian political analysts Sergey Mikheev said that Armenia and Azerbaijan failed to sign a document in Kazan on Karabakh conflict because of opposite positions. According to him, mediators’ efforts fail due to non-constructive stances of the sides. “The sides call each other fools. What should the mediators do, tell both they are fools?” the expert asked. Further, he stressed that as soon as Russia reduces its activity in the negotiation process, the US will intensify the efforts. In this case, war cannot be avoided “Name a single conflict mediated by the United States which was solved peacefully. Washington always provokes war to gain benefit,” Mikheev said.


Karabakh talks in Kazan initially doomed to failure – Armenian MP [ENG]

MP of the opposition Armenian party Heritage, Stepan Safaryan, said that the meeting of the Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian presidents in Kazan was initially doomed to failure, as the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairing countries have a conflict of interest over the Karabakh conflict resolution. According to him, “Azerbaijan’s insatiable appetite also contributed to the failure, which gives the Armenian side an opportunity to maneuver”. Further, Safaryan stressed that the situation on Karabakh will remain unchanged for a long time.  However, it does not mean the Armenian side’s stance is correct. “Armenia should change the concept of Karabakh issue,” he concluded.




Russia does everything to prevent Karabakh settlement – Stratfor [ENG]

According to this article Eugene Chausovsky, an analyst for Stratfor, said in an article that Russia has taken the driver’s seat over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and does everything to prevent its settlement. Chausovsky further explains that the “primary actor when considering the prospects for a Nagorno-Karabakh settlement is not Azerbaijan or Armenia but, rather, Russia. Russia’s primary goal in the former Soviet Union is to advance its interests in these countries while blocking the interests of foreign powers and particularly the West.” He also says that Russia’s position over the Karabakh conflict is “appear that Russia is trying to do everything it can as a negotiator to reach a settlement while in reality do everything it can to prevent such a settlement”.



PACE disappointed in Kazan meeting- Chavushoglu [ENG]

This article says that the Mevlut Chavushoglu, the President of the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE) will continue to support the dialogue between Armenia and Azerbaijan, hoping that the dialogue would bring concrete results. Speaking about the Kazan meeting of the Armenian, Russian and Azerbaijani presidents, Chavushoglu said PACE is disappointed that the parties could not reach an agreement. “We support the dialogue between the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents. We support the continuation of the meetings brokered by the Russian president,” he added.


Bryza: Sides will meet again to work through issues remaining on the table [ENG]

US Ambassador to Azerbaijan Matthew Bryza said that the US, French and Russian presidents were clear about their hopes for the meeting in Kazan when they made their statement in Deauville saying that now is the time to resolve the conflict, to finalize the sheet on ‘basic principles’, to provide the foundation for a peaceful settlement of the conflict. “So the parties didn’t reach that breakthrough to finalize the basic principles just now in Kazan. But my understanding is the negotiations are continuing, the process continues, and the sides will meet again and will try to work through the issues that are remaining on the table,” said Bryza.




US Defense Secretary can’t ignore Karabakh issue [ARM]

According to this article, Celeste Wallander, the Deputy US Defense Secretary on Russia, Ukraine Eurasia issues, said that the Pentagon cannot ignore the fact that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is a key issue both for Armenia and Azerbaijan and that it causes difficulties for US in its relations with Armenia and Azerbaijan. Asked by the RFE/RL about the efficiency of cooperation among US, Armenia and Azerbaijan, she said: “The position of the US Defense Secretary is the following – to focus especially on those directions where we can offer constructive and useful assistance.”



Russia withdrawing from Karabakh mediation reminds analyst of Kosovo [ENG]

If Russia voluntarily withdraws from the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Azerbaijan and Armenia will remain alone with their problems, with the very weak mechanisms of the OSCE Minsk Group, said political analyst Stanislav Tarasov. “If Russia withdraws from the process and France or the US begins to take on resolving the conflict, it will be a very bad situation for Azerbaijan. We know very well how a system of international law is built in a European style, where the concepts of ‘territorial integrity’ and ‘people’s right to self-determination’ are clearly outlined. We see that very well in the example of Kosovo,” he said.

Tarasov believes that Azerbaijan should insist Russia retain its mediation mission.



Armenia put forward inconsistent proposals in Kazan –Azerbaijani FM [ENG]

According to this article, Azerbaijani Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov said that the Armenian side put forward proposals conflicting with the concept of the Karabakh peace process. According to him, six principles were reflected in the earlier presented statement, as well as in the “road map”. Mammadyarov stressed that the withdrawal of Armenian troops from the regions surrounding Nagorno-Karabakh was also reflected in them. “However, this principle failed either. The discussions were of great importance to us. On the one hand, we continue negotiations to establish peace and stability in the region,” Mammadyarov said.




Vladimir Karapetyan: “RA FM advertised Azerbaijan” [ARM]

Vladimir Karapetyan of the opposition alliance Armenian National Congress said that the meeting in Kazan proves that the process over the Karabakh settlement is not over yet. Another contributing factor, according to him, is that the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs are really interested in the signing of a document over the Basic Principles. He also said that Armenia’s Foreign Minister Edward Nalbandyan somehow made the PR of his Azerbaijani counterpart when he said that the Azerbaijani side has proposed ten amendments to the Basic Principles.




Azerbaijan does not understand that it lost war and lost Karabakh forever – expert [ENG]

Political expert Richard Giragosian said that although the resumption of a fresh Karabakh war was not announced officially, given the fact that Azerbaijan is a “weak and unpredictable enemy,” the likelihood of the war is quite strong. “Azerbaijan is well aware that it will face defeat no matter how much military budget will be increased. Azerbaijan has been engaged in military buildup for several years but this is not enough to pose a threat to Armenia,” he said.

The threat actually underlies in the probability of accidental war such as broke out in South Ossetia in 2008. “Azerbaijan does not understand that it lost the war and lost Karabakh forever. It is a psychological problem, due to which Azerbaijan has driven itself into a corner, demanding all at once,” he added.


Format of OSCE Minsk Group on Karabakh conflict resolution will change-expert [ENG]

The viewpoints that the Kazan meeting of Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian Presidents was the last chance to resolve the Karabakh conflict do not reflect reality. It is quite a different thing that this meeting was the last in the OSCE Minsk Group format, political expert Armenian Richard Giragosian said. “It’s obvious that the format of the Minsk Group should be changed. Even Yerevan has started to speak of it. Some EU officials wish to replace France in the OSCE Minsk Group, while other EU members seek to involve Nagorno-Karabakh in the negotiation process. In this respect, a discussion is underway,” the expert noted. He also pointed out that Kazan did not achieve progress due to diametrically opposite positions of the parties.


Azerbaijan displayed signs of concessions at Presidents’ meeting in Kazan-expert [ENG]

Armenia political expert Richard Giragosian said that sources close to the Kazan meeting of Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian Presidents assure Azerbaijan showed certain signs of concessions at the presidents’ meeting however, the referendum to determine Nagorno-Karabakh’s status prevented Azerbaijan from such moves. According to him, Azerbaijan changed its stance prior to the Kazan meeting and tried to discuss issues which were discussed and agreed previously. “Moreover, Baku focused on the military parade rather than Kazan meeting of Armenian, Azerbaijani and Russian Presidents. Azerbaijan launched a military show of force in Baku two days after talks with Armenia, which indicated Azerbaijan’s strategy rather than the talks. The parade also sent a message to Russian President, hinting at a lack of progress,” Giragosian stressed.



Azerbaijan to debate ‘occupied lands’ issue at UN General Assembly

This article says that Azerbaijan has is going to debate the Nagorno Karabakh issue at the United Nations General Assembly. The agenda of the Assembly’s 66th session (set to take place in October) covers, among other things, a clause on the territories around Nagorno Karabakh.

According to the General Assembly’s official website, the preliminary agenda also envisages discussion over protracted conflicts in the GUAM (Georgia, Ukraine, Azerbaijan, and Moldova) area and their implications for international peace, security and development.



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