Monthly Review - Monday, August 15, 2011 0:02 - 0 Comments

Digest of Armenian Media for August 1-14


Karabakh peace talks format not to change by September – Manoyan [ENG]

Senior Dashnaktsutyun official Giro Manoyan said that the format of the Nagorno-Karabakh peace talks is not going to change till September. “The format may change in case Karabakh becomes a party to the talks. But I don’t think such possibility would be realistic unless the authorities adopt a stance that will bind the mediators,” said Manoyan, adding that the Constitution of the de facto Republic of Nagorno Karabakh (RPA) does not enshrine the country’s current borders as legal borders. “We do not even know what we will get in return of what we promised to give,” he added.


No progress in Nagorno Karabakh peace process this year, ARF-D rep says [ENG]

Giro Manoyan, Head of the Hay Dat office of the Armenian Revolutionary Federation Dashnaktsutyun (ARF-D) said he does not expect any changes in the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process until the end of this year.  “Both before theKazanmeeting and now any expectations of progress in the Nagorno Karabakh peace process until the end of this year are ungrounded,Azerbaijan’s position accounting for that,” Manoyan said. According to him, the European Union,Russiaand theUnited Stateswish to ensure progress before the end of this year. However, the present situation does not allow of that.


Armenia will face no war threats as long as Azerbaijan has oil – politician [ENG]

Politician Hmayak Hovhannisyan saidArmeniawill not face war threats as long as Azerbaijanhas oil resources. “We will not face the threat of war unless Azerbaijan has exhausted its last barrel of oil and the last cubic meter its natural gas. But we must be prepared [for that] because the day is not far away,” said he. Further, Hovhannisyan said that “should military action resume, we will find ourselves in a vulnerable situation.


Russia’s factor will make EU’s involvement in NK process hard – analyst [ARM]

James Kholn, Political analyst at the Global Education Centre at theChapmanUniversity, said that it will difficult for the EU to get involved in the settlement of the Karabakh conflict as long as the EU is dependent on Russian energy resources. He further said that Azerbaijan should decide on its own whom to cooperate with over energy resources –Russia or the West.

The winning side is pressured into capitulation [ARM]

According to this article, Armenian political analyst Hmayak Hovhannisyan said that Azerbaijan continues its political course – “to exert anything possible from each meeting” and that it is “using those meeting to present exaggerated demands”. This, according to him, is a wrong policy, which means thrusting a capitulation on the winning side. Lernik Aleksanyan, a political analyst, also present at the meeting, said that currently Armenia and Azerbaijan are in a pre-election period and therefore harsh statements may be made over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.


Azerbaijan an Armenia have managed to agree on some disagreements – Elmar Mammadyarov [ARM]

According to this article,Azerbaijan’s Foreign Minister Elmar Mammadyarov said in an interview with the Azerbaijani publication The Business Year that during 17 years of negotiations overNagorno-Karabakh,ArmeniaandAzerbaijanhave managed to agree on some points. However, according to him, there are several key moments that need to be addressed. Further, Mammadyarov said that peace can last long, if it is based on the peaceful co-existence of the two societies. He also said thatAzerbaijanis ready to give Karabakh the highest autonomy.



Minsk Group should bring Karabakh peace talks to an end – Bryza [ENG]

This article, says that US Ambassador to Azerbaijan Matthew Bryza said that the OSCE Minsk Group should bring the Nagorno Karabakh peace talks to an end. Speaking to the Azerbaijani news agency Salam news, Bryza said the group is working quite properly and is currently engaged in the elaboration of a framework agreement. Bryza further, said that both US President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton are interested in the settlement of the conflict.


US Senate against Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity? [ENG]

Baku-based Zerkalo newspaper wrote in an article that after the U.S. Senate approved Resolution #175, which recognizes Georgia’s territorial integrity and calls Abkhazia and South Ossetia occupied territories, the US Azeris Network (USAN) applied to the US Senate for approving a resolution recognizing Azerbaijan’s territorial integrity. Stressing that the U.S.Senators are unlikely to give ear to Azeris’ appeals, the newspaper writes: “For some reason, western politicians do not equally assess the consequences of ethnic and territorial conflicts in the post-Soviet area. Since early 1990s European and U.S.politicians have not had any doubts concerning the territorial integrity of Georgia and Moldova, whereas they have made an ambiguous interpretation in the case of Nagorno-Karabakh,” read the article.



Parties to Karabakh conflict actively preparing for war – expert [ENG]

Military expert Pavel Felgenhauer, according to this article, said that the parties to the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict are actively preparing for war, both Azerbaijan and Armenia. One should not think that any of the parties will sit quietly waiting for the enemy to prepare for war, he added. The expert considers that major actors involved in the negotiation process are trying to reduce tension. However, the expert considers that peace agreement on settlement of the Karabakh conflict is out of question at the moment as “none of the parties is presently ready to make serious and fundamental concessions.”


Aliyev to lose everything if he starts Karabakh war and loses it – Russian expert [ENG]

According to this news item, Russian political expert Mikhail Alexandrov said that “Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev’s head will roll if he unleashes war in Karabakh and then loses it. The expert considers that escalation of the conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh is possible theoretically, but it will not lead to widespread fighting rather than limited local skirmishes, even with use of heavy machinery. “Baku will not dare to unleash a blitzkrieg. If President Aliyev loses war, he would lose everything. He will be reminded of financial fraud, human rights, and opposition, including Islamic one which he has oppressed,” he expert said.



Artsakh [Karabakh] won’t receive international recognition due to Baku Sahakyan’s policy [ARM]

Head of the European Movement of Artsakh NGO, Hayk Khanumyan, said that the US Senate did not allocate aid to Karabakh this year because Karabakh was considered as “not free” country in the freedom of press report by the Freedom House this year. He also said that Karabakh is now having problems in fundamental freedoms and that in turn causes problems for Armenia as Yerevan – in its efforts to persuade the international community to recognize Nagorno Karabakh – would point to Karabakh’s being a democratic country, something it can do no longer. Further, he said that due to the policy pursued by Karabakh’s de facto President Bako Sahakyan, Karabakh will not get international recognition.


I doubt that Azerbaijan has given a positive answer to Medvedev’s address – A. Krilov [ARM]

According to this article, Russian political analyst Alexander Krilov said that he doubts that Azerbaijan gave a positive response to Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s proposal over Nagorno Karabakh because Azerbaijan’s Foreign Ministry recently strongly criticized Russia’s policy over the Karabakh conflict. According to him, by conveying an address Russia is demonstrating its role and activeness as a mediator. However, Krilov said that what matters is the position of the parties rather than the active role of a mediator.


Russia wanted to deploy its peacekeepers in Karabakh conflict zone [ARM]

Military expert Pavel Felgenhauer said in an interview that it would be good for Russia if it could deploy peacekeepers in Karabakh. Russia has wanted to do it since 1994, he added. Further, he said that Russia considers South Caucasus as an area that it has historically had an influence on and naturally enough it is taking steps to consolidate its positions in this region. However, he said Moscow cannot chose between the parties as it has a military base in Armenia – which borders Turkey – and that base is of strategic significance for Armenia, though Russia and Armenia have not ground border.


It is not beneficial for Armenia to negatively response to Medvedev’s proposal [ARM]

Russian political analyst Aleksey Vlasov said that the Kremlin has serious intentions to make Armenia and Azerbaijan resort to more constructive steps in the near future. The failure to reach an agreement in Kazan, according to him, made it clear that Armenia and Azerbaijan do not always heed to what Russia says. He also opposed to viewpoints that Armenia will refuse Medvedev’s proposal because it has received promise and guarantees from the West who would like to present Russia as a lame duck in its effort to find a solution to the Karabakh conflict. This, according to him, is a very dangerous game, if it really exists, and Armenia would hardly engage into it, he explained.


Baku suggests immediately moving to peace agreement – Ahmedoglu [ENG]

According to this news item, Azerbaijani political analyst Mubariz Ahmedoglu said that Baku suggests immediately moving to the preparation of a peace agreement without signing a framework agreement. He also said that initially the negotiations’ process was moving to a big peace agreement. “Afterwards, the mediators, adopting a pro-Armenian position, divided the process into three stages. That was clearly seen in the statement adopted by the leaders of the co-chairing countries in Deauville,” said Ahmedoglu. “However, Armenia rejected that too as its goal is goal is the preservation of the status quo rather than the settlement of the conflict,” he explained.




Disappointment deepened in Azerbaijan after Kazan meeting – ICG [ARM]

This article says that the International Crisis Group publicized its July report on existing and potential conflicts worldwide. In the report Armenia, Karabakh and Azerbaijan are regarded as countries where the situation with the conflict is not changing. Referring to Azerbaijan the report says that there are expressions of deepening frustration and pessimism, following the failure of much-anticipated late June Kazan summit to produce significant progress on resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.



Karabakh conflict resolution kept in secret – expert [ENG]

Armenia and Azerbaijan first of all should complain on themselves instead of accusing mediators or blaming each other, senior research fellow in the Caucasus Department at the Institute of CIS Countries Felix Stanevsky said. “The main obstacle is that public opinion is ready for compromise neither in Armenia nor in Azerbaijan. There is no comprehension of necessity for mutual compromise. Both states have political parties that hold rigid positions. This keeps back the negotiation process to progress,” he said. He went on to say that steps of resolution process are on the paper as well as the agreement for the sequence of the principal issues. Generally, statements prove that negotiations have made progress, Stanevsky believes.



Aliyev hopes Obama’s efforts will bear fruit [ARM]

This article says that Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev called US President Barack Obama and congratulated on the occasion of his birthday anniversary. Aliyev also said he hopes that efforts spent by Obama for the settlement of the Karabakh conflict will bear fruit. Aliyev highly appreciated the fact that South Caucasus region is under US’ focus. He also attached importance to Obama’s personal efforts for the resolution of the Karabakh conflict, and expressed hope that the issue will be resoled peacefully and in line with international norms.



Settlement of Nagorno-Karabakh conflict isn’t beneficial for the sides [ARM]

This article says that a Dutch journalist named Just Hooves Grev and employed by Dagblad De Pers daily said in an interview after a visit to Karabakh that the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is a very complicated one and that is should not be compared to any of the existing ethnic conflicts. However, he said that not much effort is being spent for the settlement of the conflict. “In our discussions there was also an opinion that the resolution is not beneficial for the presidents of Armenia and Azerbaijan,” said he, adding that the reason is that Karabakh is a trump card at their hands which they use to hold power. He also said that both Armenia and Azerbaijan will sacrifice their democracy, economic growth only to prevent the settlement of the conflict.


The scale of Azerbaijan’s military budget won’t help settlement of Karabakh issue [ARM]

According to this article, Russian political analyst Aleksey Vlasov said in an interview with the German Deutsche Welle TV Channel that the Karabakh conflict is the most paining issue for Azerbaijan. Recalling that Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev stated at the June 26 military parade in Baku that Azerbaijan’s military budget is $3.5b, Vlasov also said that the scale of Azerbaijan’s military budget won’t help settlement of Karabakh issue.



Nagorno Karabakh’s voice heard better now, Armenian expert says [ENG]

Armenia military expert David Jamalyan said, according to this article, that “summing up the developments since the Deauville meeting, we can state that Baku is devising methods of thwarting the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process.” Jamalyan also said that the past developments suggest that official Baku is not yet willing to settle the Nagorno Karabakh problem. According to him, “using diplomatic manners, official Baku has found a way of protracting the process.” Further, he said that Yerevan and Stepanakert (Khankendi) have since the Deauville meeting been more closely cooperating in resolving the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, and that Karabakh’s voice can now be better heard.


Medvedev: Armenia, Azerbaijan learned lessons from Russia-Georgia war [ENG]

According to this article, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said that the authorities of both Armenia and Azerbaijan have learned good lessons from the 2008 Russia-Georgia war. Asked to comment on the South Caucasian countries’ attitude to the history of Abkhazia and South Ossetia

in an interview with Russian and Georgian TV channels and the Echo Moskvy radio station, Medvedev said: “That’s a very good question. You know when that happened, the leaders of both countries [Serzh Sargsyan and Dmitry Medvedev] visited Sochi. And do you know what they said? They said, ‘It is very painful for the Caucasus’.” “I said it is very bad, and they told me, ‘That’s a kind of lesson for us. It is better to negotiate over the future of Karabakh and discuss possibilities of a referendum, or ways of drafting a peace agreement rather than face those five days of war,’ ” Medvedev quoted the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents as saying.



Peacekeepers will bring anything but not peace to region – Armenian expert [ENG]

According to this news article, Armenian military expert Davit Jamalyan said that deployment of international peacekeepers in the Karabakh conflict zone is vague and unclear. “Who will be part of these forces, where they will be deployed, what functions will perform? No one knows anything. On the other hand, we should always remember the example of Yugoslavia. What have “peacekeeping forces” done there?” said Jamalyan.  The expert also reminded of Iran which strongly opposes such developments. “Deployment of peacekeepers will bring anything but not peace to the region,” the expert concluded.



Medvedev threatens Azerbaijan by the repetition of 2008 August events [ARM]

Azerbaijani political analyst Vafa Guluzade said that with his that the 2008 Russo-Georgian war was a good lesson both for Armenia and Azerbaijan, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev in fact threatened Azerbaijan. “With that statement Medvedev took off his mask of a peacemaker and, in essence, threatened Azerbaijan of the repetition of the Georgian events in case of resumption of military actions in Karabakh,” said he. According to him, Medvedev, in fact, confessed that “it is Russia that stands behind the occupation of Nagorno-Karabakh”.  Further, he said that Russia is not interested in the settlement of the Karabakh conflict, as it will lose control over both Armenia and Azerbaijan and will fail to prevent Western influence there.



Medvedev’s warning target more the Azerbaijani leader – Zerkalo [ENG]

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev has warned his Armenian and Azerbaijani counterparts against the resumption of war in Nagorno Karabakh, the Azerbaijani newspaper Zerkalo said, commenting on Medvedev’s recent interview with Georgian and Russian media. “But Medvedev’s warning apparently target the Azerbaijani leader more,” the paper wrote.

“Medvedev seems to be warning the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents of the impermissibility of the war, particularly considering his personal failure in the conflict settlement process,” it added.



Preventing new war in Karabakh is priority – Russian expert [ENG]

According to this news article, Russian political analyst Alexander Karavayev said that there is little possibility of war in Nagorno-Karabakh in the near future. In his words, though there is no good news following Kazan meeting, Moscow is trying to support the process of diplomatic contacts between Baku and Yerevan. “Negotiations are in process, mediators are trying to bring closer the positions of Yerevan and Baku,” he explained. “”We should try to limit the possibility of war, so that it would not become last argument of the conflicting parties. We must organize a dialogue. The conflict can be solved on the basis of Madrid Principles. We must create conditions for coexistence of the two communities and then determine the status through a referendum,” concluded Karavayev.



We don’t have any real and complete guarantee from the Russian side – A. Melikyan [ARM]

According to this article, former Foreign Minsiter of the de facto Republic of Nagorno-Karabakh Arman Melikyan, referring to a statement by Russian President Dmitry Medvedev who said that the 2008 Russo-Georgian war was a “good lesson” for Armenia and Azerbaijan, said that “it is hard to realize what lessons Medvedev is speaking about”. According to him, it was first of all a lesson for Russia for it to realize it should be careful in political affairs in the South Caucasus. “As what concerns Armenia and Azerbaijan, we should really ask a serious question as to whether they are ready to recognize Nagorno-Karabakh based on the example of Abkhazia and South Ossetia, should Azerbaijan unleash a war against Karabakh,” said he.



Russian president seeks to get Nagorno-Karabakh peace process restarted [ENG]

An article in the Russian online newspaper Moskovskie Novosti said that the next trilateral meeting would not be held until Moscow gets guarantees of all the conflicting parties’ willingness to put their signatures to the Kazan document. According to the article, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev plans to hold a meeting with his Azeri counterpart Ilham Aliyev in Sochi, on August 9 with the meeting to focus on the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process. “If the talks prove a success, the next step is likely to be Dmitry Medvedev’s meeting with Armenian President Serzh Sargsyan, with a trilateral summit to follow,” the source said.


Forcing Nagorno Karabakh into re-uniting with Azerbaijan violation of international law, Italian journalist writes [ENG]

An article published by the Italian Il Democratico web daily stressed the need for international recognition of Nagorno-Karabakh, referring to the declaration of Kosovo’s independence and the independence gained by means of a national referendum in South Sudan. The article says that “even before our common era Armenians inhabited Nagorno Karabakh, which was integral part of Armenia”. Official Baku was pursuing a policy, it continued, of forcibly turning Armenian territories into Azerbaijani by weakening Armenian settlements’ economy, encouraging emigration and committing violence against Armenians. Further, it says that “though unrecognized, Nagorno Karabakh has all the features of an independent state, and forcing it into re-uniting with Azerbaijan will be a violation of international law”.




Richard Giragosian: ‘Medvedev will exert pressure on Aliyev’ [ARM]

Accord to this news item, Armenian political expert Richard Giragosian said that Russia’s President Dmitry Medvedev will exert pressure at the upcoming (09.08.2011) meeting with his Azerbaijan counterpart in Sochi where the two presidents are expected to discuss the Nagorno-Karabakh issue. Giragosian draw attention what he called “an interesting moment” when Dmitry Medvedev for the first time ever openly came up with a threat, saying in an interview with Georgian press that Armenia and Azerbaijan should have drawn lessons from the Russo-Georgian war. “… And now we see that Medvedev calls Ilham Aliyev to Sochi,” said Giragosian.



Chief of Armenian General Staff is not involved in negotiations over Karabakh – MOD [ENG]

Press secretary of Armenian Ministry of Defense, Davit Karapetyan dismissed media reports that the Chief of Armenian General Staff Yuri Khachaturov “spoke in favor of handing over the liberated territories of Nagorno-Karabakh”. “It is obvious that this is misinformation. The Chief of General Staff is the top military official of the Armed Forces, whose responsibilities extend only over management of the Army,” said he. Further, Karapetyan noted that negotiations over Nagorno-Karabakh are under the authority of political powers, rather than military forces. “Colonel-General Yuri Khachaturov actively participated in the Karabakh War and definitely realizes the extent of sacrifice we made to form NK security zone,” added Karapetyan.



NK and Azerbaijan are better protected against air strikes than Armenia – Eurasia.Net [ARM]

This news article says that US security expert on Caucasus, Central Asia and Middle East Joshua Kucera wrote in an analysis piece in Eurasianet that Karabakh and Azerbaijan are well-protected against air strikes than Armenia. Joshua cites an analysis which says that Azerbaijan’s air defense system will deny Armenia any chance of sorties within Azerbaijan’s territory along the Nagorno Karabakh border. “Its air force will cover the gaps for the protection for the rest of the nation if Armenia takes desperate measures to inflict extra losses. For the time being Armenia’s limited air arm provides no real threat for any strikes within Azeri territory, the only threat being the R-17 [Scud missiles].


Russian and Azerbaijani presidents’ bilateral meeting relates to the results of the Kazan meeting [ARM]

Eldar Namazov, who worked as Chief of Staff during Heydar Aliyev’s term in office in 1993-1999, said that the meeting of Dmitry Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev scheduled on August 9, will be a bilateral one, i.e. Armenia’s president will not attend it, and that it will relate to the results of the meeting in Kazan. He also said he does not have many expectations from that meeting in Sochi. “I don’t think it will be possible to reach consensus on the Basic Principles in the foreseeable future,” said he.



Russian, Azerbaijani leaders discuss Karabakh peace talks in Sochi [ENG]

This article says that Russian and Azerbaijani Presidents Dmitry Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev met in the Russian resort of Sochi and discussed that the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process.  Dmitry Medvedev has attached great importance to the settlement of regional conflicts. “The settlement of regional conflicts is very important for us because we are close countries, neighbors, friends and partners. As a matter of fact, the well-being of our region, countries and peoples depends on the development of the situation in the region,” Medvedev said. Ilham Aliyev, in turn, thanked Medvedev for his personal efforts in the conflict settlement talks and said that “the meetings in trilateral format have considerably approximated the parties’ positions”.


Azerbaijan should give up the psychology of vassal – Zerkalo [ENG]

Azerbaijani online newspaper Zerkalo wrote in an article that the Nagorno Karabakh conflict will not be settled in favor of Azerbaijan “unless the country gives up the psychology of vassal in its relationship with Russia, the Azerbaijani newspaper Zerkalo said in an article commenting on the possible outcomes of the upcoming meeting between the Russian and Azerbaijani presidents.   Further, it said that Azerbaijani authorities “never get tired of repeating that their people’s patience is wearing thin, and in case the peace process fails to produce any result in the near future, Baku will have to resort to military operations to settle the problem. But Medvedev’s statement [that Armenia and Azerbaijan should draw lessons from the Russo-Georgian war] leads to the assumption that Azerbaijan is ready to tolerate the status quo forever,” the paper commented.



Yerevan must refuse new proposals [ARM]

According to this news item, Armenian newspaper Novosti Armenia, referring to the meeting by Dmitry Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev in Sochi, wrote that Medvedev will try to reset the Karabakh peace process. “If negotiations succeed, the next step will probably be a meeting with Armenia’s President Serzh Sargsyan that will be followed by a trilateral meeting” wrote the paper. Further, it said that after the failed meeting in Kazan, Medvedev came up with new proposals, taking into account Azerbaijan’s demands. All through this time, it continued, Moscow has launched an informational attack on Armenia, even threatening with the resumption of the war. In conclusion, the paper said that Armenia’s position and authority will rise, if it rejects Russia’s new proposals.



The Minsk Group acts ahead of the September deadline [ARM]

According to this article, American-Armenian political analyst Richard Giragosian said that the OSCE Minsk Group is acting ahead of the September deadline, and if there is not shift in the peace process, then the Minsk Group will consider new versions of the process in an attempt to adopt a more flexible policy that will include such steps as proposed by some representatives of the European Union, particularly, replacing France with an EU representative. According to him the Minsk Group will also try to involve larger circles of civic society, as well as regional players and discuss the issue with Iran, Turkey and Georgia and create a larger chain of interested parties in the talks.



No trilateral meetings unless some agreement is achieved during bilateral meetings [ARM]

According to this news article, political analyst Edgar Vardanyan said that Russia’s move to hold bilateral meetings with the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents separately has been approved by the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs and that there will be no trilateral meetings unless some agreement is reached during the bilateral ones. The reason Russia started to meet with the Armenian and Azerbaijani presidents separately, according to Vardanyan, is that the parties failed to reach an agreement over the Basic Principles at the meeting in Kazan and the mediators do not want to see the repetition of the Kazan scenario in the next trilateral meeting.



Nagorno-Karabakh conflict not to be settled soon, Armenian politician says [ENG]

Edward Antinyan, Chairman of the Ramkavar Azatakan Democratic Liberal Party of Armenia, expressed his appreciation of Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s efforts to settle the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, adding that Medvedev will not succeed in his steps. “But, I am sorry, he will not succeed,” he said. According to him, the centers of power are not yet ready to resolve the problem. “They expect a document to be signed and… the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict to be settled quickly. But it is impossible. People are just exerting efforts,” he said.


Azerbaijan panic-stricken, Armenian expert says [ARM]

Armenian political scientist Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan said that Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s interview on the occasion of the 3rd anniversary of the Russian-Georgian war contained an implicit message to the Armenian and Azerbaijani leaders, which was actually intended for Baku. Speaking about negotiations over the Karabakh conflict, Military expert Artsrun Hovhannisyan, in turn, said that the Armenian side has a number of achievements, the prospering Nagorno-Karabakh being evidence thereof. “Azerbaijan gets into panic because of the fact that Artsakh [Nagorno-Karabakh] has, to a certain extent, been internationally recognized,” he said.


Open conversation was the main outcome of Medvedev-Aliyev meeting, says Russian paper [ENG]

Russian newspaper Moskovskie Novosti citied an unnamed source close to Russian president’s office who said that the main outcome of the Russian and Azerbaijani presidents’ August 9 meeting in Sochi turns out to be an open conversation. According to the source, the two leaders were trying to make out whom or what hampers the conflict settlement process. Clearing up the matter became necessary after the trilateral summit in Kazan and the meetings held before, the paper added.


Presidential meeting in Sochi produced no result – Kommersant [ENG]

This news item says that Russian daily newspaper Kommersant said in an article that the meeting of the Russian and Azerbaijan presidents in Sochi to discuss the Karabakh conflict produced no essential result. According to the paper, Ilham Aliyev only thanked his Russian counterpart Dmitry Medvedev for his efforts as a mediator in the Karabakh peace deal, says the paper. Citing unnamed sources, the Russian publication further said that Azerbaijan’s military potential will enable the country to settle the conflict within a couple of days’ time, with President Aliyev being very resolute in the matter.



Moscow’s neutrality is a signal to Baku [ARM]

The article says that analysts and political figures say that failure to reach an agreement over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict will make a fresh war inevitable. It also says that some analysts have already forecast that Karabakh will become the “Sarajevo of the Third World War.” Referring to Russia’s position in the peace talks and sudden change in the status quo, the article says that it is unclear whether Russia will clearly state at the upcoming meeting of the Collective Security Treaty Organization that it will take Armenia’s side in case hostilities in Karabakh resume or “it will maintain neutrality which Azerbaijan can accept as a sign of actions”.




David Babayan: Russia is trying to avert resumption of war in Karabakh

According to this news article, David Babayan, Spokesperson of the President of the de facto Republic of Nagorno-Karabakh, said that Russia’ efforts are aimed at preventing the resumption of a fresh war in Nagorno-Karabakh. According to him, the most important issue Russia wants to solve at the moment is preserving peace in the region. “…Because the resumption of the war is really conceivable of unpredictable consequences, involving various states,” said he. Speaking about the recent comment by Russia’s president Dmitry Medvedev who said that both Armenia and Azerbaijan should draw lessons from the Russo-Georgian war, Babayan said that it was a message addressed to Azerbaijan.



Baku agreed to Medvedev’s proposals – Russian newspaper

Russian newspaper The Moscow News said that Russian President Dmitry Medvedev had to the mistakes immediately shortly after the meeting in Kazan when the Armenia and Azerbaijan failed to reach an agreement over the Karabakh conflict. According to the newspaper, Medvedev found some reasonable arguments of the Azerbaijani side. “According to some information,Azerbaijanagreed to the provisions which were recorded in Medvedev’s letter. However, nothing is reported about Sargsyan’s response,” Russian political expert Aleksey Vlasov told The Moscow News.




Aliyev swallowed Medvedev’s sour pill – Hmayak Hovhannisyan [ARM]

Armenian political analyst Hmayak Hovhannisyan, speaking about the meeting of the Russian and Azerbaijani presidents inSochion August 9 said that Dmitry Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev discussed also issues other than the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict and therefore it cannot be said that that meeting was a breakthrough event. According to him, Medvedev made a good point as he earlier spoke of the Russo-Georgian war, saying that it is better to negotiate endlessly rather than finding oneself as a victim of that 5-day war. In his words, it was after that statement that Aliyev went toSochito meet Medvedev.

NK peace process should be continued – Novruz Mamedov [ARM]

According to this article, Novruz Mamedov, the head of foreign relations department ofAzerbaijan’s presidential office, said that the talks over the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict should be continued, as he spoke of the meeting of Dmitry Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev inSochion August 9. “The presidents’ position can be expressed as follows: the approximation in the parties’ positions on some issues in accordance with the basicMadridprinciples has become possible at the meetings and negotiations held recently upon the President Dmitry Medvedev’s initiative and participation. Therefore, it is necessary to further continue the negotiations,” Mammadov said.


Medvedev’s statement is an ultimatum for Azerbaijan’s militaristic policy [ARM]

According to this news article, Armenian political analyst Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan said that it is obvious that today “Azerbaijan’s aggression is on the increase”. He also referred to Russian President Dmitry Medvedev’s recent statement in which he said that it was aggression that led to the recognition of South Ossetiaand Abkhazia. According to him, Medvedev’s message means that any violation of peace by any of the sides will lead to a situation where Russiawill defend the positions and borders of the other side. He went on to say that today Azerbaijanis also nervous about the fact that Nagorno-Karabakh has some kind of independence now and that there are even rumors about changing the mediation format.


Medvedev is sick and tired of organizing trilateral meetings [ARM]

According to this article, Armenian political analyst Hrant Melik-Shahnazaryan said that the fact that first Azerbaijani president was invited to Sochi to meet Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, testifies to Azerbaijan’s being a party which is causing problems in the peace process. According to him, if Russia organizes another trilateral meeting, it will meanRussiaandAzerbaijanhave come to some kind of agreement. Political analyst Artsrun Hovhannisyan, in turn, said that the meeting of Dmitry Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev is a proof that the meeting in Kazan was failed because of Azerbaijan. “The Medvedev-Aliyev meeting showed that there are problems with Azerbaijan, and unless they are clarified, there is no need to continue the talks in trilateral format,” said he.


Parties were to take literally one step in Kazan  to shake hands – Izvestya [ARM]

Russian newspaper Izvestya, referring to the meeting of Russian and Azerbaijani presidents inSochion August 9, quoted a senior Russian Foreign Ministry official who said that in all probability Dmitry Medvedev tried to exert willingness from Ilham Aliyev to restart talks over the Karabakh conflict. The source also said that the parties were very close to signing a “road map” on June 24 in Kazan, and that they were to take literally one step to shake hands. But Ilham Aliyev, according to the paper, came up with ten amendments to the Basic Principles. Aliyev, the paper explains, was opposed to the provision about a legally binding referendum that will define the final status of Nagorno-Karabakh.




Stratfor: “Russia and Azerbaijan showed US their close tire by the meeting in Sochi” [ARM]

The Stratfor analytical center, referring to the meeting of the Russian and Azerbaijani presidents inSochiwhere they discussed the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, said thatRussiaandAzerbaijanshowed theUSby that meeting that they are holding good ties. Saying that the main issue on the agenda of that meeting was the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, Stratfor noted that Dmitry Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev discussed a far wider circle of issues. It also said that Azerbaijan had a good reason to maintain closer ties withRussiagiven the existence of a strong Armenian lobby in US and the US ban that still forbids selling weapons to Azerbaijan.


Aliyev assess the support of Islamic countries over Karabakh [ARM]

This article says that Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev thanked all those Muslim countries that have displayed an “unconditional” support to the Nagorno-Karabakh issue. He said thatAzerbaijan’s leadership still continues to enjoy that support. “We should become more unified,” Aliyev said at a meeting with the ambassadors of Islamic countries, reminding the significant role Islamic countries played during the adoption of a non-binding resolution over Karabakh in the UN Security Council.



Azerbaijani ruling party has concept of Karabakh conflict settlement [ENG]

According to this article, Mubariz Gurbanli, an MP of the ruling Yeni (New)Azerbaijanparty

Said while speaking about the meeting of Dmitry Medvedev and Ilham Aliyev inSochion August, the Azerbaijani president “reiteratedAzerbaijan’s readiness to solve the conflict based on norms of the international law and within the framework ofAzerbaijan’s territorial integrity”.  He also said thatAzerbaijanis interested in resolving the conflict more than others”. “Bakuopposes preserving the status quo,” he said. According to him, during all meetings Aliyev openly presents “Azerbaijan’s concept on the Karabakh conflict which is based on the international law”.


Meeting of presidents of Azerbaijan and Russia cannot be assessed negatively – ARFD [ENG]

This news item says that Giro Manoyan Azerbaijani, Head of Armenian Office of ARF Dashnaktsutyun, said that Russian and Azerbaijani presidents’ words that negotiations on Karabakh conflict should be continued, carry positive element. According to him, there is no reason for a negative assessment of the results. However, Manoyan said that there was something strange in the speech of Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev. “Previously they always spoke about resolution of Karabakh conflict on the basis of international law but now Aliyev said that the settlement must be based on international law and common sense. Common sense is certainly good but it is too a wide concept. We can presume that a settlement based solely on international law does not suit Aliyev,” said Manoyan.


Azerbaijan is missing an important chance to solve Karabakh conflict [ENG]

According to this news article, Azerbaijani news agency Turan quoted a US official as saying that Azerbaijan is missing a very important opportunity to solve the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. “That is first of all related to the reset policy. Both [US and Russian] administrations have declared the theme of Karabakh as the priority goal for the summer,” the US official was quoted as saying, adding that the resolution of the problem is in its final stage. He also said that political figures in Yerevan and Baku should “realize that we are already at the final stage and attempts to stand back from all this may draw everybody to an abyss.”



Armenia to win back Nakhichevan to ‘satisfy’ Azerbaijan’s claims – politician [ENG]

Armenia needs to win back Nakhichevan to “satisfy” Azerbaijan’s territorial claims, Vahan Shirkhanyan, a representative of the Social Democrat Hunchakian said. “We must re-word the formula as Equivalent Exchange of Territories,” he said. Shirkhanyan referred to historical and legal contexts and precedents that helped establish peace on different territories. “In case the United Nations and NATO help us there will no longer be any problem. Why not consider it a fantastic idea? But the greatest utopia 25 years ago was the collapse of the Soviet Union,” he recalled.


Left-wing socialists may resolve Karabakh problem, says politician [ARM]

According to this article, Chairman of the Progressive Communist Party of Armenia Vazgen Safaryan said that the left-wing forces in Armenia have a great potential in the Nagorno-Karabakh peace process because similar political forces are in power in many countries of the world. “They can create a favorable environment for the resolution of our national problems, including the Nagorno-Karabakh problem, in Armenia’s favor,” Safaryan said. He said that the party participated in the congress of communist, socialist and labor parties in Brussels two years ago. The party proposed declaring the principle of peoples’ self-determination superior to that of territorial integrity.


Fighting potential of Karabakh’s army has increased [ENG]

According to this article, the de facto defense minister of Nagorno-Karabakh said the fighting potential of Karabakh’s army has increased by about 20 per cent and that Karabakh’s Armed Forces “are always on the alert to give a worthy response to any military assault” by Azerbaijan.

“Last year and the first semester of this one has been announced as a year of reforms in the Armed Forces. And today the fighting potential of the army has increased by about 20 per cent which is our greatest achievement compared to all the [previous] years. And this will be continuous,” said Hakobyan.



Why aren’t you satisfied with your own lands? 13-year-old girl from Karabakh wrote letter to President of Azerbaijan [ENG]

This news item says that a 13-year-old girl from Nagorno Karabakh wrote a letter to Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, calling on him to stop talking about bringing Nagorno-Karabakh back under Azerbaijani rule. In her letter, Adeline Avetikyan also tells Aliyev that Karabakh is her homeland that the Azerbaijanis should be satisfied with the lands they have at their disposal.



Iran, Turkey and Russia will hardly remain as observers – The Washington Post [ARM]

According to this news item, The Washington Post published an article which said that should hostilities resume in Karabakh, then it might be “very difficult for Iran, Turkey and Russia to remain uninvolved — and impossible to confine the fighting to Nagorno-Karabakh itself”. “A major supply route used by the United States to provision troops in Afghanistan would be disrupted,” said the article. It also said that officials in Karabakh say “they are confident that they have the military strength to keep Azerbaijan from attacking and that that’s a better way to keep the peace than by making concessions toward a settlement”.


No need for Medvedev-Sargsyan meeting [ARM]

Speaking about the reported meeting of the Armenian and Russian presidents at the informal summit of the heads of the member states of the Collective Security Treaty Organization to be held on August 12 in Kazakhstan, David Babayan, the Spokesperson of Karabakh’s de facto president, said that there is no need for such a meeting. “I think that the important message Russia had to say in the process, it has already told directly Ilham Aliyev, as it is he who is aggressively attempting to take some steps,” said he. Further, he said that if the international community has to tell something to some, then it is Azerbaijan’s president, so that he will adopt a “constructive stance.”




Iran will continue to exert pressure on Azerbaijan over Islamic factor [ARM]

According to this article, Alik Gharibyan, an associate professor at the Yerevan State University, said that Iran will continue using the Islamic factor to exert pressure on Azerbaijan and the Azerbaijani political system. In his opinion, there will be changes in West’s’ policy towards Azerbaijan and all that will affect also Armenia, namely Nagorno Karabakh. According to him, Iran’s position is at the interest of Armenia when it comes to the Karabakh issue. “Let’s not forget that it was so also during the war. That role will be continuous,” said he adding that Iran’s position over “liberated territories” will not change as it is related to the latter’s security.



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